Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/1/2022

by | May 2, 2022

The New York Yankees (14-6) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the Kansas City Royals (7-12) at 2:10 PM ET Sunday from Kauffman Stadium. The Yankees are favored (-195) by oddsmakers. Luis Severino gets the starting nod for New York while Daniel Lynch is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -195 +164 8 -111 -109 -1.5 -115 -106

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Royals

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+164) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Royals Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Severino Lynch
3 GS 3
1-0 W-L 2-1
2.08 ERA 3.38
13.0 IP 16.0
4 BB 4
14 SO 16

Yankees Starter Luis Severino

  • Severino gets the start for the Yankees, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 14 strikeouts through 13 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday, April 20 against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up seven hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.08, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are batting .275 against him.
  • Severino will aim to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.1 frames per outing.
  • He will face a Royals offense that ranks 29th in the league with 59 runs while batting .211 as a unit. It has a collective .312 slugging percentage (27th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 11 home runs (28th in MLB).

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

  • The Royals will hand the ball to Lynch (2-1) for his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.38, a 4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.188 in three games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in three starts this season.
  • Lynch will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Yankees rank 14th in MLB with 88 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 24 home runs (fifth in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won 13, or 68.4%, of those games.
  • This season, New York has won seven of its nine games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -195 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 66.1% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of their 19 opportunities.
  • The Yankees have an ATS record of 11-8-0 in 19 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Royals have won in five, or 35.7%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Kansas City has been a moneyline underdog of -195 or better three times, losing every contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Kansas City have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in seven of 19 chances this season.
  • The Royals are 9-10-0 against the spread in their 19 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Anthony Rizzo is the Yankees best power hitter, hitting six round-trippers this season in addition to collecting 15 RBI, both team highs.
  • In all of the majors, Rizzo ranks third in homers and seventh in RBI.
  • Aaron Judge has five doubles, five home runs and eight walks while batting .286.
  • Judge is 11th in homers and 34th in RBI on the year.
  • Judge carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu has five doubles, two home runs and six walks while hitting .294.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .305 with four doubles and four walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Anthony Rizzo 20 .247 .368 .548 6 15 18
Aaron Judge 19 .286 .359 .571 5 12 20
DJ LeMahieu 19 .294 .368 .456 2 8 20
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 18 .305 .338 .373 0 6 18
Aaron Hicks 17 .306 .426 .367 1 4 15

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Andrew Benintendi paces the Royals with 10 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .373.
  • In all of the big leagues, Benintendi ranks 149th in homers and 66th in RBI.
  • Salvador Perez has collected a team-best five home runs.
  • Perez ranks 11th overall in homers and 86th in RBI this season.
  • Carlos Santana has a double, a home run and 14 walks while hitting .127.
  • Hunter Dozier is batting .258 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs and two walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Andrew Benintendi 19 .373 .419 .463 1 10 25
Salvador Pérez 19 .205 .256 .466 5 9 15
Carlos Santana 17 .127 .304 .200 1 5 7
Hunter Dozier 17 .258 .290 .485 3 6 17
Michael A. Taylor 17 .184 .317 .245 1 5 9

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Royals

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +164. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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