Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/27/2022

by | Apr 27, 2022

The New York Yankees will look to pick up their 11th win of the season when they take on the Baltimore Orioles (6-10) Wednesday. The game begins at 7:05 PM ET, with the Yankees listed as -256 favorites on the moneyline. New York’s Jordan Montgomery gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Tyler Wells.

Yankees vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -256 +213 8 -116 -104 -1.5 -125 +103

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+213) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Montgomery Wells
3 GS 3
0-1 W-L 0-2
2.51 ERA 6.75
14.1 IP 8.0
5 BB 4
11 SO 6

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

  • The Yankees will send Montgomery (0-1) out to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 11 strikeouts through 14 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Thursday against the Detroit Tigers, when the lefty threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.51, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .192 batting average against him.
  • He meets an Orioles offense that ranks last in the league with 44 runs while batting .211 as a squad. It has a collective .294 slugging percentage (29th in MLB action) and has hit a total of six home runs (30th in MLB).
  • In five innings over one appearance against the Orioles this season, Montgomery has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .176.

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

  • The Orioles will hand the ball to Wells (0-2) for his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 2 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 6.75 ERA this season with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.5 walks per nine across three games.
  • The Yankees rank 14th in MLB with a .235 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 14th in the league (.380) and 17 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Yankees in one game, and they have gone 3-for-13 over four innings.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 15 times this season and won nine, or 60%, of those games.
  • New York has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -256 moneyline set for this game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 71.9%.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in five of their 15 games with a total.
  • The Yankees have an ATS record of 7-8-0 in 15 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have won in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Baltimore has played as an underdog of +213 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 31.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in three of their 16 opportunities.
  • In 16 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 10-6-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Anthony Rizzo is the Yankees best power hitter, launching five round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 12 RBI, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB batters, Rizzo ranks 80th in batting average, 37th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
  • Aaron Judge is hitting .263 with five doubles, three home runs and eight walks.
  • Judge ranks 29th in homers and 155th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Judge has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu leads the Yankees with a .333 batting average.
  • LeMahieu is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 games he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .300 with four doubles and three walks.
  • Kiner-Falefa is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles and five RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Anthony Rizzo 16 .250 .382 .571 5 12 14
Aaron Judge 16 .263 .354 .509 3 5 15
DJ LeMahieu 15 .333 .414 .510 2 7 17
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 15 .300 .333 .380 0 5 15
Josh Donaldson 16 .182 .308 .345 2 4 10

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles with two long balls and runs batted in, driving in eight.
  • Mullins is 60th in homers and 67th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Mullins has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Anthony Santander has two doubles, a home run and 13 walks while batting .240.
  • Among all major league hitters, Santander is 121st in homers and 270th in RBI.
  • Austin Hays leads the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .246.
  • Trey Mancini is batting .237 with three doubles, a home run and five walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 16 .213 .314 .393 2 8 13
Anthony Santander 16 .240 .433 .340 1 2 12
Austin Hays 15 .246 .328 .368 1 5 14
Trey Mancini 16 .237 .288 .339 1 6 14
Ryan Mountcastle 16 .246 .279 .308 1 7 16

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Orioles

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +213. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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