Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/26/2022

by | Apr 25, 2022

The New York Yankees (10-6) roll into Tuesday’s matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (6-10) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 7:05 PM ET with the Yankees listed as -300 favorites on the moneyline. New York’s Luis Severino gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles.

Yankees vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -300 +235 7.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -125 +105

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+235) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Severino Lyles
3 GS 3
1-0 W-L 1-1
2.08 ERA 3.52
13.0 IP 15.1
4 BB 6
14 SO 12

Yankees Starter Luis Severino

  • Severino (1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 13 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his fourth of the season.
  • His last appearance was on Wednesday against the Detroit Tigers, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing seven hits.
  • In three games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.08, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .275 against him.
  • Severino will try to build on a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.1 frames per outing).
  • He will face off against an Orioles team that is batting .211 as a unit (25th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .294 (29th in MLB) with six total home runs (30th in MLB).

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles (1-1) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.52, 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .305 in three games this season.
  • Lyles has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Yankees have scored 58 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They have 123 hits, 13th in baseball, with 17 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • The Yankees have gone 6-for-21 with a double and an RBI in 5 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have been favorites in 15 games this season and won nine (60%) of those contests.
  • New York has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -300.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 75% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in five of 15 chances this season.
  • The Yankees are 7-8-0 ATS in their 15 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win six times (37.5%) in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have given Baltimore the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +235 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 29.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in three of their 16 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 10-6-0 against the spread in their 16 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Yankees best power option comes in the form of Anthony Rizzo and his five-homer 12-RBI season, both team highs.
  • In all of MLB, Rizzo ranks fourth in home runs and 11th in RBI.
  • Aaron Judge is batting .263 with five doubles, three home runs and eight walks.
  • Judge is 23rd in home runs and 140th in RBI on the year.
  • Judge heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu has put up a team-best batting average of .333.
  • LeMahieu is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .368 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .300 with four doubles and three walks.
  • Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles and five RBI.
Anthony Rizzo 16 .250 .382 .571 5 12 14
Aaron Judge 16 .263 .354 .509 3 5 15
DJ LeMahieu 15 .333 .414 .510 2 7 17
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 15 .300 .333 .380 0 5 15
Aaron Hicks 15 .273 .377 .341 1 4 12

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins has posted a team-leading two home runs and has driven in eight runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Mullins is 52nd in homers and 49th in RBI.
  • Mullins carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Anthony Santander is hitting .240 with two doubles, a home run and 13 walks.
  • Santander is currently 108th in home runs and 257th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Austin Hays paces the Orioles’ lineup with a .246 batting average.
  • Trey Mancini is batting .237 with three doubles, a home run and five walks.
Cedric Mullins 16 .213 .314 .393 2 8 13
Anthony Santander 16 .240 .433 .340 1 2 12
Austin Hays 15 .246 .328 .368 1 5 14
Trey Mancini 16 .237 .288 .339 1 6 14
Ryan Mountcastle 16 .246 .279 .308 1 7 16

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Orioles

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +235. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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