Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/11/2022

by | May 11, 2022

Expect a display of power when Aaron Judge (9 HR) and the New York Yankees (20-8) take on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (7 HR) and the Toronto Blue Jays (16-13) at Yankee Stadium at 12:35 PM ET. Judge and the Yankees are -143 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. New York’s Jameson Taillon and Toronto’s Jose Berrios have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -143 +121 7.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +148 -175

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Our computer pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+121) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Taillon Berríos
5 GS 6
2-1 W-L 2-1
2.84 ERA 5.34
25.1 IP 28.2
2 BB 10
21 SO 20

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

  • The Yankees will send Taillon (2-1) to make his sixth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 21 strikeouts through 25 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Tuesday, May 3 against the Toronto Blue Jays, the righty tossed six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • In five games this season, the 30-year-old has a 2.84 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .273 to opposing batters.
  • Taillon heads into the game with one quality start under his belt this season.
  • Taillon will try to collect his fourth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The opposing Blue Jays offense has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.400) and ranks fifth in MLB play with 35 home runs. It has a collective .238 batting average, and is 12th in MLB with 227 total hits and 23rd in MLB action scoring 109 runs.
  • Head-to-head against the Blue Jays this season, Taillon has thrown 11 innings, giving up three earned runs on 10 hits while striking out 10.

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

  • Berrios (2-1) will take the mound for the Blue Jays, his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 5.34, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.640.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in six starts this season.
  • Berrios has four starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
  • The Yankees have scored 118 runs this season, which ranks 14th in MLB. They have 208 hits, 23rd in baseball, with 34 home runs (seventh in the league).
  • The right-hander has faced the Yankees one time this season, allowing them to go 6-for-21 with two doubles, two home runs and three RBI in five innings.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 18 (69.2%) of those contests.
  • This season, New York has won 16 of its 23 games, or 69.6%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of their 27 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 13-14-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in nine games this year and have walked away with the win four times (44.4%) in those games.
  • Toronto has a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by +121 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Toronto and their opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 29 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 29 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 12-17-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Judge’s nine homers and 21 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .284 average.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks 35th in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
  • Judge takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo has five doubles, six home runs and 12 walks while hitting .210.
  • Rizzo is 17th in home runs in the majors, and 42nd in RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu has six doubles, two home runs and 10 walks while batting .275.
  • Giancarlo Stanton’s 21 runs batted in pace his team.
Aaron Judge 27 .284 .354 .608 9 21 29
Anthony Rizzo 28 .210 .331 .440 6 16 21
DJ LeMahieu 26 .275 .359 .407 2 9 25
Giancarlo Stanton 27 .240 .274 .452 7 21 25
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 25 .253 .304 .325 0 7 21

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Guerrero leads the lineup with a batting average of .290, and paces the Blue Jays in home runs, with seven and runs batted in with 19.
  • Guerrero is seventh in home runs and 19th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Guerrero carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .222 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • George Springer has a team-best seven home runs.
  • Springer is currently seventh in homers and 76th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .257 with eight doubles, two home runs and four walks.
  • Santiago Espinal is hitting .261 with 10 doubles, two home runs and seven walks.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 28 .290 .365 .540 7 19 29
George Springer 28 .284 .351 .539 7 13 29
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 29 .257 .298 .390 2 11 27
Santiago Espinal 29 .261 .317 .435 2 14 24
Bo Bichette 29 .254 .283 .377 3 13 31

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

We have the Blue Jays on the moneyline at +121 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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