Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/10/2022

by | May 10, 2022

Expect a display of power when Aaron Judge (8 HR) and the New York Yankees (18-8) take on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (7 HR) and the Toronto Blue Jays (16-12) at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 PM ET. Judge and the Yankees are -164 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. New York’s Luis Severino gets the start, and he’ll go against Toronto’s Yusei Kikuchi.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -164 +141 7 -120 +101 -1.5 +136 -160

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Our computer pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+141) and Over (7)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Severino Kikuchi
4 GS 5
1-0 W-L 1-1
3.00 ERA 4.35
18.0 IP 20.2
5 BB 14
18 SO 20

Yankees Starter Luis Severino

  • The Yankees will send Severino (1-0) out for his fifth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, May 1, the righty went five innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • In four games this season, the 28-year-old has a 3.00 ERA and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .288 to opposing hitters.
  • Severino will aim to last five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.2 frames per outing.
  • He will face off against a Blue Jays offense that ranks ninth in MLB with 220 total hits (on a .239 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .400 (sixth in MLB) with 34 total home runs (fifth in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Blue Jays this season, Severino has thrown five innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out six.

Blue Jays Starter Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi (1-1) will take the mound for the Blue Jays, his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 4.35 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .234.
  • In five starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • Kikuchi has started five games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings two times. He averages 4.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Yankees have scored 111 runs this season, which ranks 15th in MLB. They have 198 hits, 22nd in baseball, with 32 home runs (sixth in the league).
  • The left-hander has faced the Yankees two times this season, allowing them to go 8-for-34 with three doubles, two home runs and three RBI in 9 1/3 innings.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 25 times this season and won 17, or 68%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 14-5 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -164 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 62.1%.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of their 26 opportunities.
  • The Yankees are 13-13-0 against the spread in their 26 chances this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs in eight games this season and have come away with the win four times (50%) in those contests.
  • Toronto has been listed as an underdog of +141 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Toronto and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 28 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 28 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 11-17-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (18).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Judge’s home run total places him third, and his RBI tally ranks him 19th.
  • Anthony Rizzo has four doubles, six home runs and 11 walks while batting .215.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Rizzo is 14th in homers and 37th in RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu has accumulated a team-best batting average of .282.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has six doubles and seven walks while batting .276.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 25 .277 .346 .596 8 18 26
Anthony Rizzo 26 .215 .336 .452 6 15 20
DJ LeMahieu 24 .282 .351 .412 2 9 24
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 23 .276 .329 .355 0 7 21
Giancarlo Stanton 25 .240 .276 .438 6 18 23

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Guerrero paces the Blue Jays in home runs (seven), runs batted in (19) and has posted a team-best batting average of .289.
  • In all of the majors, Guerrero is sixth in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Guerrero carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • George Springer is batting .276 with five doubles, six home runs and seven walks.
  • Springer is 14th in homers and 80th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Bo Bichette is batting .254 with six doubles, three home runs and four walks.
  • Santiago Espinal has nine doubles, two home runs and seven walks while batting .261.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 27 .289 .360 .546 7 19 28
George Springer 27 .276 .339 .510 6 12 27
Bo Bichette 28 .254 .279 .381 3 13 30
Santiago Espinal 28 .261 .320 .432 2 12 23
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 28 .255 .291 .382 2 10 26

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Blue Jays

Our best bet is the Blue Jays on the moneyline at +141 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

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