Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/28/2022

by | Apr 28, 2022

Following a two-homer game last time out, Max Kepler leads the Minnesota Twins (10-8) into action as -140 favorites against the Detroit Tigers (6-11). First pitch from Target Field at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday. Bailey Ober will get the ball for Minnesota while Detroit counter with Tarik Skubal.

Twins vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -140 +120 7 -115 -105 -1.5 +149 -177

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+120) and Over (7)

Twins vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Bailey Ober
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
  • Game Day: Thursday, April 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Ober Skubal
3 GS 3
1-1 W-L 1-1
2.81 ERA 2.30
16.0 IP 15.2
3 BB 1
13 SO 16

Twins Starter Bailey Ober

  • Ober (1-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 16 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his fourth of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Chicago White Sox, when he went five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put together a 2.81 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings across three games this season, while allowing a batting average of .220 to opposing hitters.
  • Ober will aim to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.317) and is 29th in MLB play with eight home runs. It has a collective .223 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 122 total hits and 25th in MLB play scoring 57 runs.

Tigers Starter Tarik Skubal

  • The Tigers’ Skubal (1-1) will make his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on five hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 2.30, a 16 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.085.
  • He has started three games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
  • Skubal will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Twins have scored 68 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They are batting .219 for the campaign with 20 home runs, fifth in the league.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 10 games this season and won six (60%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has been at least a -140 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in six of their 18 chances.
  • The Twins are 8-10-0 against the spread in their 18 chances this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been victorious in five, or 35.7%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Detroit has been victorious one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in six of their 17 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 7-10-0 against the spread in their 17 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Twins best power option comes in the form of Byron Buxton and his six-dinger 11-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Kepler is hitting .263 with two doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.
  • Kepler is 13th in homers and 78th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Kepler has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .438 with a double, three home runs, five walks and five RBI.
  • Luis Arraez has a team-best batting average of .365.
  • Gio Urshela has a home run and seven walks while batting .286.
Byron Buxton 12 .289 .347 .778 6 11 13
Max Kepler 18 .263 .391 .509 4 8 15
Luis Arraez 17 .365 .441 .462 1 7 19
Gio Urshela 16 .286 .368 .347 1 4 14
Jorge Polanco 17 .180 .306 .311 2 8 11

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Meadows paces the Tigers with nine runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .302.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Meadows’ home run total is 242nd and his RBI tally ranks 60th.
  • Spencer Torkelson’s three home runs pace his team.
  • Torkelson ranks 32nd in homers and 78th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Javier Baez is batting .267 with two doubles, two home runs and two walks.
  • Robbie Grossman is hitting .298 with two doubles and eight walks.
Austin Meadows 15 .302 .403 .415 0 9 16
Spencer Torkelson 17 .216 .355 .412 3 8 11
Javier Báez 8 .267 .312 .533 2 8 8
Robbie Grossman 14 .298 .404 .340 0 5 14
Miguel Cabrera 16 .296 .350 .333 0 5 16

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Tigers

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +120. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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