Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/4/2022

by | May 4, 2022

The Minnesota Twins (15-9) roll into Wednesday’s matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (8-15) looking to extend a four-game winning streak. The contest starts at 7:05 PM ET with the Twins listed as -138 favorites on the moneyline. Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Kyle Bradish.

Twins vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -138 +117 7.5 -107 -114 -1.5 +126 -149

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+117) and Over (7.5)

Twins vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Bundy Bradish
4 GS 1
3-1 W-L 0-1
2.95 ERA 3.00
21.1 IP 6.0
3 BB 1
19 SO 2

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • Bundy (3-1) takes the mound for the Twins in his fifth start of the season. He has a 2.95 ERA in 21 1/3 innings pitched, with 19 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Friday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the right-hander went six innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • In four games this season, the 29-year-old has a 2.95 ERA and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .210 to opposing batters.
  • Bundy will aim to last five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .216 batting average, and is 22nd in the league with 164 total hits and last in MLB play with 66 runs scored. It has the worst slugging percentage (.306) and ranks last in home runs (nine) in all of MLB.

Orioles Starter Kyle Bradish

  • Bradish will take to the mound for the Orioles, his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Boston Red Sox, throwing six innings and giving up two earned runs.
  • He has pitched in one games this season with an ERA of 3.00, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000.
  • The Twins have scored 103 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They have 183 hits, 13th in baseball, with 25 home runs (ninth in the league).

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 13 games this season and won nine (69.2%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has been at least a -138 moneyline favorite eight times this season and won each of those games.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 24 chances this season.
  • The Twins have an ATS record of 12-12-0 in 24 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (34.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Baltimore has come away with a win seven times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in six of their 23 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Orioles have posted a record of 13-10-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Max Kepler is great at getting on base when he’s at the plate. Kepler leads the Twins this season with a .360 OBP and 18 hits.
  • In all of MLB, Kepler ranks 17th in homers and 48th in RBI.
  • Byron Buxton has hit seven home runs to lead his team.
  • Buxton has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
  • Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a .296 batting average.
  • Jorge Polanco has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 14 RBI.
  • Polanco brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with three doubles and six RBI.
Max Kepler 24 .240 .360 .480 5 12 18
Byron Buxton 16 .290 .343 .710 7 13 18
Luis Arraez 22 .296 .359 .366 1 7 21
Jorge Polanco 23 .200 .296 .329 2 14 17
Gio Urshela 22 .257 .329 .314 1 5 18

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins has swatted a team- leading two home runs.
  • In all of the big leagues, Mullins ranks 89th in homers and 127th in RBI.
  • Mullins takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .273 with three doubles.
  • Anthony Santander’s two home runs pace his team.
  • Santander is 89th overall in homers and 127th in RBI this season.
  • Austin Hays paces the Orioles’ lineup with a .274 batting average.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has posted a team-leading two home runs and has driven in nine runs.
Cedric Mullins 23 .220 .297 .374 2 8 20
Anthony Santander 23 .236 .404 .347 2 8 17
Austin Hays 22 .274 .351 .393 1 6 23
Ryan Mountcastle 21 .238 .273 .321 2 9 20
Trey Mancini 20 .240 .289 .333 1 8 18

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +117 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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