Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/14/2022

by | May 14, 2022

Seeking their 20th win of the year, the Minnesota Twins (19-14) are favorites (-164) on the moneyline when they take on the Cleveland Guardians (15-16) Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. Devin Smeltzer will get the ball for Minnesota while Cleveland counter with Shane Bieber.

Twins vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -164 +141 8 -118 -102 -1.5 +123 -146

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Guardians

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+141) and Under (8)

Twins vs. Guardians Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
  • Game Day: Saturday, May 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Smeltzer Bieber
0 GS 6
0-0 W-L 1-2
ERA 4.41
0 IP 32.2
0 BB 9
0 SO 29

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

  • Smeltzer makes his first start of the season for the Twins.
  • It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 26-year-old left-hander.
  • The Guardians have MLB’s sixth-ranked scoring offense (153 total runs) and have racked up a .255 batting average as a team while hitting 30 home runs (13th in the league) this season.

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

  • The Guardians will hand the ball to Bieber (1-2) for his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.41 and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .250 in six games this season.
  • He has started six games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • In six starts this season, Bieber has lasted five or more innings four times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Twins are batting .239 this season, 10th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .391 (10th in the league) with 34 home runs.
  • The 26-year-old’s 4.41 ERA ranks 46th, 1.224 WHIP ranks 40th, and 8.0 K/9 ranks 31st among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 19 times and won 13, or 68.4%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has entered five games this season favored by -164 or more, and won each of those games.
  • The Twins have a 62.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 13 of 33 chances this season.
  • The Twins are 13-20-0 ATS in their 33 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been victorious in 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cleveland has a mark of 2-5 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +141 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 41.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 34 opportunities.
  • The Guardians are 19-15-0 against the spread in their 34 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Byron Buxton’s 10 homers in 2022 are the most on the Twins. He’s also knocked in 18 runs while hitting .259.
  • Jorge Polanco has been productive as he paces his team with 20 runs batted in.
  • Polanco is 57th in home runs and 25th in RBI in the majors.
  • Polanco heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .250 with five doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
  • Luis Arraez is hitting .304 with three doubles, a home run and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Byron Buxton 22 .259 .333 .691 10 18 21
Jorge Polanco 32 .241 .341 .414 4 20 28
Max Kepler 32 .250 .347 .442 5 14 26
Luis Arraez 25 .304 .396 .380 1 7 24
Gio Urshela 29 .223 .283 .277 1 7 21

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez has managed a team-leading seven home runs and has driven in 32 runs.
  • Ramirez is 12th in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Ramirez brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a triple, three walks and three RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .284 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks.
  • Kwan is 213th in home runs and 98th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Owen Miller has accumulated a team-high batting average of .314.
  • Myles Straw is hitting .243 with six doubles, a triple and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 31 .302 .401 .586 7 32 35
Steven Kwan 25 .284 .387 .409 1 13 25
Owen Miller 25 .314 .380 .535 3 13 27
Myles Straw 31 .243 .353 .313 0 3 28
Andrés Giménez 28 .329 .348 .565 4 19 28

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +141 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 8 runs.

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