Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/13/2022

by | May 13, 2022

Josh Naylor leads the Cleveland Guardians (15-15) into Friday’s matchup with the Minnesota Twins (18-14) on a two-game homer streak. His Guardians are underdogs for the contest, however, with bookmakers naming the Twins as -159 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 8:10 PM ET from Target Field. Minnesota’s Sonny Gray gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Aaron Civale.

Twins vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -159 +136 8 -119 -101 -1.5 +124 -148

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Guardians

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+136) and Over (8)

Twins vs. Guardians Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
  • Game Day: Friday, May 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Gray Civale
3 GS 5
0-1 W-L 1-2
3.48 ERA 9.45
10.1 IP 20.0
5 BB 6
12 SO 22

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

  • Gray (0-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 10 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his fourth of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when he tossed four scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • In three games this season, the 32-year-old has put up a 3.48 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .189 to his opponents.
  • The opposing Guardians offense has the fourth-ranked slugging percentage (.402) and is 17th in MLB play with 27 home runs. It has a collective .255 batting average, and is fifth in MLB with 262 total hits and sixth in MLB action scoring 145 runs.

Guardians Starter Aaron Civale

  • The Guardians’ Civale (1-2) will make his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, May 5, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 9.45 and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .326.
  • None of Civale’s five starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
  • Civale has started five games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings one time. He averages 4.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Twins rank 16th in MLB with a .234 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 14th in the league (.377) and 30 home runs.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Twins have won 12 out of the 18 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Minnesota has been at least a -159 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 12 of their 32 chances.
  • The Twins have an ATS record of 12-20-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (48%) in those games.
  • This year, Cleveland has won two of eight games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cleveland and their opponents have gone over in 20 of their 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Guardians have posted a record of 19-14-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Byron Buxton’s nine round-trippers in 2022 are the most on the Twins. He’s also driven in 17 runs while hitting .256.
  • Jorge Polanco has collected 19 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Polanco is 84th in homers and 25th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Polanco has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
  • Max Kepler has four doubles, five home runs and 14 walks while batting .230.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .316 with three doubles, a home run and 10 walks.
  • Arraez takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double and three walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Byron Buxton 21 .256 .318 .667 9 17 20
Jorge Polanco 31 .241 .338 .393 3 19 27
Max Kepler 31 .230 .336 .420 5 12 23
Luis Arraez 24 .316 .395 .395 1 7 24
Gio Urshela 28 .222 .284 .278 1 7 20

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (30).
  • In all of the majors, Ramirez is 11th in homers and first in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has six doubles, a triple, a home run and 13 walks while hitting .298.
  • Kwan is 207th in home runs and 88th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Owen Miller paces the Guardians with a team-best batting average of .333.
  • Naylor is hitting .347 with four doubles, five home runs and three walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 30 .297 .402 .595 7 30 33
Steven Kwan 24 .298 .396 .429 1 13 25
Owen Miller 24 .333 .400 .568 3 13 27
Josh Naylor 20 .347 .377 .611 5 22 25
Myles Straw 30 .248 .344 .319 0 3 28

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +136 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

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