Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

by | Jun 16, 2022

The Minnesota Twins will look to pick up their 38th win of the season when they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (30-35) Friday. The game begins at 9:40 PM ET, with the Twins listed as -140 favorites on the moneyline. Minnesota’s Devin Smeltzer and Arizona’s Madison Bumgarner have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -140 +120 9 -115 -105 -1.5 +115 -135

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) and Under (9)

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
  • Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Smeltzer Bumgarner
6 GS 13
3-0 W-L 2-6
2.38 ERA 3.50
34.0 IP 64.1
9 BB 22
16 SO 45

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

  • Smeltzer makes the start for the Twins, his seventh of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 34 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the left-hander tossed six innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.38, with 4.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opposing hitters have a .203 batting average against him.
  • Smeltzer has three quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Smeltzer is trying to collect his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • The opposing Diamondbacks offense has a collective .216 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 460 total hits and 20th in MLB action with 264 runs scored. It has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and ranks ninth in home runs (74) in all of MLB.

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

  • The Diamondbacks will send Bumgarner (2-6) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.50 and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .244.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in 13 starts this season.
  • Bumgarner will look to pitch five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • The Twins have scored 286 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 74 home runs, ninth in the league.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 37 times this season and won 25, or 67.6%, of those games.
  • Minnesota is 21-8 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 58.3% chance to win.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 30 of their 65 chances.
  • The Twins are 31-34-0 ATS in their 65 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won in 25, or 43.9%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Arizona has a mark of 15-25 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona and their opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 70 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Diamondbacks are 40-30-0 against the spread in their 70 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez’s .354 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes three homers and driven in 21 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Arraez ranks 219th in home runs and 149th in RBI.
  • Byron Buxton has hit 18 home runs to pace his team.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Buxton ranks second in homers and 51st in RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has a team-high 33 runs batted in.
  • Max Kepler is batting .243 with nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 26 walks.
Luis Arraez 55 .354 .438 .426 3 21 69
Byron Buxton 48 .227 .309 .569 18 32 41
Jorge Polanco 58 .242 .337 .386 7 33 52
Max Kepler 55 .243 .341 .400 6 28 45
Gio Urshela 58 .262 .315 .379 5 24 51

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Walker has posted a team-leading 16 home runs and has driven in 33 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Walker ranks seventh in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte’s .269 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Marte is currently 173rd in home runs and 138th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Daulton Varsho is hitting .247 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
  • David Peralta is hitting .236 with 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.
Christian Walker 63 .201 .298 .469 16 33 45
Ketel Marte 61 .269 .341 .435 4 22 60
Daulton Varsho 59 .247 .312 .433 9 28 53
David Peralta 59 .236 .304 .436 8 27 46
Josh Rojas 34 .264 .345 .413 4 16 32

Betting Tips for Twins vs. Diamondbacks

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +120. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

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