Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/20/2022

by | Apr 20, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (6-5), led by Danny Jansen on a two-game home run streak, are -138 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Boston Red Sox (6-4). First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET Wednesday, live from Fenway Park. Jose Berrios takes the mound for Toronto while Nick Pivetta is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -138 +117 9.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +116 -138

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+117) and Under (9.5)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Berríos Pivetta
2 GS 2
0-0 W-L 0-2
11.81 ERA 9.39
5.1 IP 7.2
5 BB 5
5 SO 6

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

  • Berrios (0-0) takes the mound for the Blue Jays to make his third start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the New York Yankees, when he threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In two games this season, he has an 11.81 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are hitting .360 against him.
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.371) and is 16th in MLB play with nine home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is 21st in MLB with 72 total hits and 14th in MLB play scoring 44 runs.

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta will take to the mound for the Red Sox, his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he threw two innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched to a 9.39 ERA this season with 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 5.9 walks per nine across two games.
  • In two starts, Pivetta has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 3.3 frames per outing.
  • The Blue Jays rank 15th in MLB with 43 runs scored this season. They have a .251 batting average this campaign with 15 home runs (second in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in six games this season and won four (66.7%) of those contests.
  • Toronto has a record of 4-2 when favored by -138 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Games involving Toronto have gone over the total set by bookmakers in four of 10 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 5-5-0 against the spread in their 10 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have come away with one win in the three contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Boston has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +117 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 46.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in three of their 10 opportunities.
  • In 10 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 6-4-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s five home runs and 10 RBI both lead the Blue Jays, in addition to his team-high .317 average.
  • In all of MLB, Guerrero is second in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • George Springer is hitting .267 with four doubles, two home runs and two walks.
  • Springer ranks 26th in homers and 66th in RBI in the majors.
  • Springer carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .111 with a double.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .275 with three doubles and two walks.
  • Zack Collins is batting .400 with two doubles, two home runs and a walk.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 11 .317 .364 .707 5 10 13
George Springer 11 .267 .312 .489 2 5 12
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 11 .275 .318 .350 0 5 11
Zack Collins 6 .400 .429 .800 2 4 8
Matt Chapman 11 .229 .325 .429 2 7 8

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with a team-leading batting average of .333.
  • Devers ranks 26th in homers and 30th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Devers takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with three home runs and eight runs batted in.
  • Verdugo ranks eighth overall in homers and 18th in RBI this year.
  • Kike Hernandez is batting .195 with six doubles, a home run and six walks.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .235 with four doubles, a home run and five walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 10 .333 .349 .548 2 7 14
Alex Verdugo 10 .303 .359 .606 3 8 10
Kiké Hernández 10 .195 .298 .415 1 4 8
J.D. Martínez 10 .235 .341 .441 1 6 8
Xander Bogaerts 9 .257 .297 .400 1 4 9

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +117 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

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