Liverpool @ Manchester United – 3:15 p.m. ET

In the aftermath of Chelsea’s (somewhat surprising) home loss to Arsenal (?!) on Wednesday, Liverpool suddenly have a chance to finish top-4 in the Premier League table.

The key for this game: United have played five matches since April 25 and three in the last week, whereas Liverpool have played just once since April 25, giving them time to rest. This Reds defense isn’t completely healthy, but they’ve still been extremely solid, having allowed one goal or fewer in every league match since Feb. 20.

Harry Maguire’s ankle injury is a significant blow to Manchester’s ability to properly defend, so that should open the door for Liverpool to at least get a draw here.

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Pick: Liverpool Draw No Bet (-143)

Sprinkle: Liverpool +128

DFS Value Play: Roberto Firmino ($5800)

 

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies – 8:40 p.m. ET

Baseball’s version of the Reds get a favorable matchup at the hitter’s paradise that is Coors Field. Cincinnati has thrived at hitter-friendly parks this season: 10-7 at Great American Ball Park (third-best for hitters), and five of their seven road wins have come at stadiums ranked in the top-15.

This is all to say that hitting has been Cincy’s strength this year, but there’s still a slight edge on this pitching matchup. Yes, Luis Castillo has struggled to start the season, but he has a much better pedigree than Colorado starter Chi Chi Gonzalez, who has struggled just as much. It would be some wonderful irony if Castillo had his big turnaround game at altitude.

The Rockies are statistically unlikely to win two games in a row.

Pick: Reds -148

DFS Value Play: Jesse Winker ($5100)

 

Parlay

Los Angeles Kings @ Colorado Avalanche – 9:00 p.m. ET

With a win tonight, not only would the Avalanche steal the West’s critical No. 1 seed from the Golden Knights, they would also snatch the Presidents’ Trophy. After last night’s 6-0 drubbing of Los Angeles, there’s no reason Colorado can’t pull it off. The lopsided win was also without Nathan MacKinnon (undisclosed) in the lineup. They are liable to let up goals with backup Jonas Johansson in net, so let’s make it interesting and parlay the over.

Pick: Avalanche and Over 5.5 Parlay (+116)

Prop

Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns – 10:10 p.m. ET

Look, we love Mikal Bridges points props. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. After dropping just six points against the fifth-rated Warriors defense, the 24-year-old gets a shot at the 29th-ranked Portland defense. Last time out he scored 18 points against them. As usual, this total is below his season average, so fade the continued disrespect.

Pick: Mikal Bridges Over 12.5 Points (-127)

Bold Bet

San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates – 6:35 p.m ET

It’s telling that the Giants, current holders of the National League’s best record, aren’t bigger favorites over the Pirates, owners of the NL’s third-worst record. Part of the reason could be that San Francisco starter Anthony DeSclafani (career 5.00 ERA) will get dropped into a hitters’ park after looking good in mostly pitchers’ parks. The Buccos are always good for a sneaky win.

Pick: Pirates +133

Degenerate Corner

Sometimes the stars align. Other times, the stars sit out — and it feels like the universe is against you. We don’t complain at The Rundown, so instead we’ll lay out some objective, totally (sort of) unemotional facts: We bet on the Angels, and Mike Trout got his first night off this season. We took the Pelicans, Kristaps Porzingis played, Steven Adams didn’t, and Lonzo Ball sat out. You can’t always account for anomalies, especially when placing early bets. But as degenerates it’s important to remember (tell ourselves) that a good bet is still a good bet if you get unlucky.

Your Turn: Grand Salami time! Betting on the total number of runs across all MLB games is your chance for a shoutout. The number is set at 105.5. Tell us over or under, and the exact total. Closest guess gets a shoutout next time.

Shoutout: We asked readers to pick two players to get a hit in last night’s baseball slate, but no one was able to come through on both. We told you it’s harder than it looks!

The Roundup

Wednesday: 1-2

Parlay: L | Prop: L | Bold: L

WTD: 4-4 | Parlay: 1-2 | Prop: 0-2 | Bold: 0-3

MTD: 16-7 | Parlay: 2-6 | Prop: 3-4 | Bold: 1-7

YTD: 42-36-1 (53.8%)

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