Tigers vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/3/2022

by | May 2, 2022

The Detroit Tigers (7-14) are set to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (9-12) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The Tigers are listed as -160 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Pirates have +140 odds for the contest. Michael Pineda will get the ball for Detroit while Pittsburgh counter with Bryse Wilson.

Tigers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Tigers vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Tigers -160 +140 7.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +125 -145

Computer Predictions for Tigers vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) and Over (7.5)

Tigers vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Michael Pineda
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Pineda Wilson
2 GS 3
1-1 W-L 0-0
3.60 ERA 6.35
10.0 IP 11.1
0 BB 8
4 SO 6

Tigers Starter Michael Pineda

  • Pineda (1-1) takes the mound for the Tigers to make his third start this season.
  • His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, when the righty went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • In two games this season, he has a 3.60 ERA and 3.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are hitting .256 against him.
  • Pineda will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.341) and is 26th in MLB play with 12 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 15th in MLB with 168 total hits and 23rd in MLB action scoring 79 runs.

Pirates Starter Bryse Wilson

  • Wilson (0-0) will take the mound for the Pirates, his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, April 21, when he tossed three innings while giving up three earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 6.35, a 0.75 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.765.
  • The Tigers rank 17th in MLB with a .232 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 27th in the league (.322) and 10 home runs.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Tigers have been favored three times and won one of those games.
  • Detroit has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -160 moneyline set for this game.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 61.5% chance to win.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in eight of their 21 opportunities.
  • In 21 games with a spread this season, the Tigers are 8-13-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have been victorious in seven, or 38.9%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won two of 10 games when listed as at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in eight of 21 chances this season.
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 11-10-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Meadows has put up a team-high batting average of .319 and leads the Tigers in runs batted in (11).
  • Meadows’ home runs rank him 263rd in the majors, and he ranks 60th in RBI.
  • Meadows carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with two walks and two RBI.
  • Javier Baez has been productive as he paces his team with 11 RBI.
  • Baez carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
  • Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers with three home runs.
  • Robbie Grossman is hitting .288 with two doubles and 11 walks.
Austin Meadows 19 .319 .420 .406 0 11 22
Javier Báez 12 .292 .333 .500 2 11 14
Spencer Torkelson 20 .190 .311 .349 3 8 12
Robbie Grossman 18 .288 .411 .322 0 5 17
Jeimer Candelario 20 .164 .238 .247 1 5 12

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the team in batting average with a mark of .343.
  • In all of the majors, Hayes is 263rd in home runs and 167th in RBI.
  • Hayes takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, three walks and two RBI.
  • Michael Chavis been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with three home runs and 12 RBI.
  • Chavis is 51st overall in homers and 41st in RBI this year.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has three home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Ben Gamel has three doubles, a home run and eight walks while batting .233.
Ke’Bryan Hayes 20 .343 .420 .429 0 6 24
Michael Chavis 17 .302 .316 .547 3 12 16
Daniel Vogelbach 17 .306 .358 .500 3 8 19
Ben Gamel 21 .233 .324 .333 1 7 14
Bryan Reynolds 19 .200 .317 .314 2 4 14

Betting Tips for Tigers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +140 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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