Manchester City @ Paris Saint-Germain – 3:00 p.m. ET

What do you do after nailing the under in the first Champions League semi-final? Take the over in the second obviously. Wednesday’s massive clash in Paris features the clubs tied for the second-most goals in UCL (behind Bayern Munich, who were eliminated by PSG last round).

First, a concession on concessions: City have allowed just three goals throughout the entire competition. But two of them came last round against Borussia Dortmund, an offense actually worthy of challenging City’s defense, unlike most of their group-stage opponents. PSG – at home and led by the deadly trio of Kylian Mbappe, Angel Di Maria and Neymar – are their biggest threat yet.

These two sides are evenly matched, so we’re banking on a 2-1 scoreline without stressing over the winner.

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Pick: Over 2.5 (-148)

 

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