San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/17/2022

by | Apr 17, 2022

The San Diego Padres will look to pick up their sixth win of the season when they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-5) Sunday. The game begins at 7:08 PM ET, with the Padres listed as -132 favorites on the moneyline. San Diego’s Yu Darvish gets the start, and he’ll go against Atlanta’s Bryce Elder.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Padres vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -132 +111 7.5 -120 +100 -1.5 +152 -178

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+111) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Braves Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Darvish Elder
2 GS 1
0-1 W-L 1-0
10.57 ERA 4.76
7.2 IP 5.2
6 BB 0
5 SO 4

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • Darvish (0-1) starts for the Padres, his third of the season.
  • His last time out came on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty threw 1 2/3 innings, surrendering nine earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • In two games this season, he has a 10.57 ERA and 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .276 against him.
  • He will match up with a Braves offense that ranks third in MLB with 77 total hits (on a .238 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .409 (ninth in MLB) with 12 total home runs (third in MLB).

Braves Starter Bryce Elder

  • Elder heads to the mound for the Braves to make his second start of the season, seeking his second win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up three earned runs.
  • He has an ERA of 4.76, a strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.059 in one games this season.
  • The Padres have scored 43 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .237 for the campaign with eight home runs, 14th in the league.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored seven times and won four of those games.
  • This season, San Diego has won three of its four games when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 56.9% chance to win.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in three of their 10 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 6-4-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves were underdogs in 59 games last season and came away with the win 29 times (49.2%) in those contests.
  • Atlanta had a mark of 15-21 in contests where sportsbooks set them as +111 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Atlanta and its opponents hit the over in 77 of their 171 games with a total set by oddsmakers last season.
  • In 129 games with a line last season, the Braves had a mark of 68-61-0 against the spread.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado is batting .350 with four doubles, a home run and four walks.
  • Machado is 55th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jurickson Profar has hit three home runs with nine runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Profar ranks fourth in home runs and sixth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Profar enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Austin Nola is hitting .250 with a home run and two walks.
  • Eric Hosmer has a club-best .394 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 153 .278 .347 .489 28 106 157
Jake Cronenworth 152 .266 .340 .460 21 71 151
Eric Hosmer 151 .269 .337 .395 12 65 137
Trent Grisham 132 .242 .327 .413 15 62 112
Wil Myers 146 .256 .334 .434 17 63 113

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Matt Olson leads the Braves with a team-high batting average of .412.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Olson’s home run total is 19th and his RBI tally ranks 148th.
  • Marcell Ozuna has three doubles, three home runs and a walk while batting .325.
  • Ozuna is fourth in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Ozzie Albies has been a significant run producer for the Braves with four home runs and eight runs batted in.
  • Austin Riley is batting .270 with three doubles, two home runs and seven walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Matt Olson 10 .412 .556 .676 2 2 14
Marcell Ozuna 10 .325 .333 .625 3 7 13
Ozzie Albies 10 .237 .333 .605 4 8 9
Austin Riley 10 .270 .400 .514 2 5 10
Travis d’Arnaud 6 .280 .308 .400 1 4 7

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Braves

Our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +111 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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