San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Tips and Best Bets

by | Apr 6, 2022

The San Diego Padres are moneyline favorites (-160) to begin their season with a road win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET. Yu Darvish gets the starting nod for San Diego while Madison Bumgarner is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -160 +138 8.5 -126 +105 -1.5 -103 -118

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+138) and Over (8.5)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
  • Game Day: Thursday, April 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Darvish Bumgarner
30 GS 26
8-11 W-L 7-10
4.22 ERA 4.67
166.1 IP 146.1
44 BB 39
199 SO 124

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • Darvish will start for the Padres, his first this season.
  • The 35-year-old right-hander started and threw 4 2/3 innings when he last appeared Wednesday, Sept. 29 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • In 30 games last season he compiled an 8-11 record and had a 4.22 ERA and a 1.094 WHIP.
  • He ranked 30th in ERA (4.22), 17th in WHIP (1.094), and seventh in K/9 (10.8) among qualified pitchers in MLB action last year.

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

  • Bumgarner has been named the starter for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start this season.
  • The 32-year-old southpaw hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Friday, Oct. 1 against the San Francisco Giants, when he pitched 5 2/3 innings as the starter.
  • Last season, he posted a 4.67 ERA with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings and a record of 7-10.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres were favorites in 116 games last season and won 67 (57.8%) of those contests.
  • Last season, San Diego won 42 of its 73 games, or 57.5%, when favored by at least -160 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents went over the total last season in 82 of their 159 opportunities.
  • In 118 games with a spread last season, the Padres were 58-60-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks won in 39, or 28.5%, of the 137 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Arizona had a mark of 20-62 in contests where bookmakers set them as +138 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Arizona’s games went over the total in 88 of its 159 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks had an against the spread mark of 56-60-0 in 116 games with a line last season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado drove in 106 RBI last season while batting .278.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 42 home runs while batting .282.
  • Jake Cronenworth hit .266 a season ago with 33 doubles, seven triples, 21 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Eric Hosmer hit .269 with 28 doubles, 12 home runs and 48 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 153 .278 .347 .489 28 106 157
Fernando Tatis Jr. 130 .282 .364 .611 42 97 135
Jake Cronenworth 152 .266 .340 .460 21 71 151
Eric Hosmer 151 .269 .337 .395 12 65 137
Trent Grisham 132 .242 .327 .413 15 62 112

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • David Peralta collected 63 runs batted in a season ago.
  • Ketel Marte powered out 14 home runs a season ago while slugging .532.
  • Pavin Smith had a batting average of .267 with 133 total hits last season.
  • Josh Rojas hit .264 with 32 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 58 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ketel Marte 90 .318 .377 .532 14 50 108
Carson Kelly 98 .240 .343 .411 13 46 73
Pavin Smith 145 .267 .328 .404 11 49 133
Josh Rojas 139 .264 .341 .411 11 44 128
Daulton Varsho 95 .246 .318 .437 11 38 70

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +138. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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