Red Sox vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/20/2022

by | May 20, 2022

The Boston Red Sox (16-22) will look to Trevor Story (three-homer game last time out) to lead them in a matchup versus the Seattle Mariners (17-22) Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are -112 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. Boston’s Michael Wacha and Seattle’s Robbie Ray have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -112 -107 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +144 -135

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (-107) and Over (8.5)

Red Sox vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
  • Game Day: Friday, May 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Wacha Ray
0 GS 8
0-0 W-L 4-3
ERA 4.62
0 IP 48.2
0 BB 18
0 SO 50

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

  • Wacha makes his first start of the season for the Red Sox.
  • It’s the first appearance this season for the 30-year-old right-hander, and his first outing in more than a year.
  • The Mariners have scored 152 total runs this season, making them MLB’s 20th-ranked scoring offense so far this season. As a team they have a .233 batting average while hitting 40 home runs (eighth in the league).

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

  • The Mariners’ Ray (4-3) will make his ninth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up five earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.62 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .223.
  • In eight starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
  • Ray has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Red Sox rank 12th in MLB with a .242 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 17th in the league (.377) and 28 home runs.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 4.62 ERA ranks 54th, 1.192 WHIP ranks 36th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 19th.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Boston has entered 17 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 8-9 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 12 of their 38 chances.
  • In 38 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-18-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have come away with 10 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has a mark of 9-17 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 19 of their 39 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 20-19-0 against the spread in their 39 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with seven dingers on the year. He’s also hitting .335 with 21 RBI.
  • Devers’ home runs put him 25th in the majors, and he ranks 33rd in RBI.
  • Devers has collected a hit in 13 games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .452 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts is batting .331 with eight doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.
  • Bogaerts ranks 75th in home runs and 86th in RBI on the season.
  • Bogaerts carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez paces the Red Sox with a .344 batting average.
  • Story’s 23 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 38 .335 .364 .576 7 21 53
Xander Bogaerts 37 .331 .389 .472 4 16 47
J.D. Martínez 31 .344 .383 .582 5 20 42
Trevor Story 33 .230 .317 .413 5 23 29
Alex Verdugo 36 .221 .257 .331 3 16 30

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France has posted a team-leading batting average of .323 while leading the Mariners in runs batted in with a mark of 28.
  • Among all batters in the majors, France ranks 40th in home runs and eighth in RBI.
  • France carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Adam Frazier is batting .267 with nine doubles, a triple, a home run and 15 walks.
  • Frazier is 245th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 117th in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .300 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .221 with seven doubles, two home runs and 21 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 39 .323 .394 .477 6 28 50
Adam Frazier 38 .267 .337 .360 1 14 40
J.P. Crawford 36 .300 .380 .462 4 11 39
Jesse Winker 39 .221 .319 .314 2 14 31
Eugenio Suárez 38 .216 .314 .439 7 19 30

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Mariners

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at -107. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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