Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

by | Jun 16, 2022

J.D. Martinez, batting .351 this season, leads the Boston Red Sox (34-30) into a matchup with Paul Goldschmidt (.347 AVG) and the St. Louis Cardinals (37-28). The Red Sox are -113 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 PM ET. Boston’s Michael Wacha and St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -113 -107 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 -161 +138

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Cardinals

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-107) and Under (9.5)

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
  • Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Wacha Wainwright
10 GS 12
4-1 W-L 5-4
2.33 ERA 2.84
54.0 IP 73.0
16 BB 23
36 SO 55

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

  • Wacha makes the start for the Red Sox, his 11th of the season. He is 4-1 with a 2.33 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 54 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Seattle Mariners, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • In 10 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 2.33 ERA and 6.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .195 to opposing hitters.
  • Wacha heads into the outing with two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Wacha will try to record his seventh matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • He will take the mound against a Cardinals offense that ranks fourth in MLB with 566 total hits (on a .254 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .399 (11th in MLB) with 66 total home runs (16th in MLB).

Cardinals Starter Adam Wainwright

  • The Cardinals will send Wainwright (5-4) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in seven innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday.
  • The 40-year-old has an ERA of 2.84, a 2.391 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.233 in 12 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
  • Wainwright will look to pitch five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
  • The Red Sox rank fourth in MLB with a .257 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.414) and 62 home runs.
  • The 40-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (2.84), 42nd in WHIP (1.233), and 51st in K/9 (6.8) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won 22, or 61.1%, of the 36 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Boston has entered 36 games this season favored by -113 or more and is 22-14 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of their 64 games with a total this season.
  • The Red Sox have an ATS record of 35-29-0 in 64 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, St. Louis has won 14 of 29 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 66 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals have an against the spread record of 36-29-0 in 65 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 16 home runs.
  • Devers ranks seventh in home runs and 17th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Xander Bogaerts has 19 doubles, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .332.
  • Among all major league hitters, Bogaerts is 105th in home runs and 58th in RBI.
  • Bogaerts enters this game looking for his 10th game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .342 with five doubles, two walks and five RBI.
  • Martinez paces the Red Sox with a .351 batting average.
  • Martinez has at least one base hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .342 with five doubles, three home runs, six walks and five RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .246 with 14 doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
Rafael Devers 63 .329 .378 .612 16 40 85
Xander Bogaerts 62 .332 .397 .491 6 31 77
J.D. Martínez 54 .351 .421 .573 8 28 74
Alex Verdugo 59 .246 .287 .360 4 33 56
Trevor Story 57 .218 .303 .405 9 42 48

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Goldschmidt leads the squad with a batting average of .347, and leads the Cardinals in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 56.
  • Goldschmidt ranks seventh in home runs and third in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Goldschmidt takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .500 with two doubles, four home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
  • Tommy Edman has nine doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 26 walks while batting .285.
  • Among all MLB batters, Edman is 78th in homers and 102nd in RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado has 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .271.
  • Harrison Bader is batting .258 with five doubles, two triples, five home runs and 11 walks.
Paul Goldschmidt 62 .347 .430 .640 16 56 82
Tommy Edman 63 .285 .360 .431 7 26 70
Nolan Arenado 61 .271 .342 .476 11 41 62
Harrison Bader 62 .258 .303 .371 5 19 55
Brendan Donovan 44 .341 .448 .465 1 20 44

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Cardinals

We have the Cardinals on the moneyline at -107 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

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