Rays vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/27/2022

by | Apr 27, 2022

Ji-Man Choi, batting .357 this season, leads the Tampa Bay Rays (9-8) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Ty France (.368 AVG) and the Seattle Mariners (11-6). Choi and the Rays are -133 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Tropicana Field, beginning at 6:40 PM ET. Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen and Seattle’s Marco Gonzales have been named the starters for this contest.

Rays vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -133 +113 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +155 -178

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+113) and Over (7.5)

Rays vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Rasmussen Gonzales
3 GS 3
0-1 W-L 1-1
5.25 ERA 3.29
12.0 IP 13.2
3 BB 3
9 SO 13

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

  • Rasmussen (0-1 with a 5.25 ERA and nine strikeouts in 12 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rays, his fourth of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs, the right-hander threw three innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has a 5.25 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season, while giving up a batting average of .245 to opposing hitters.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is seventh in the league with 138 total hits and third in MLB action with 85 runs scored. It has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.401) and ranks sixth in home runs (18) in all of MLB.

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

  • The Mariners’ Gonzales (1-1) will make his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 3.29, 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .271.
  • He has one quality starts in three chances this season.
  • Gonzales has made one start of five or more innings in three chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
  • The Rays rank ninth in MLB with a .245 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.393) and 15 home runs.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have won eight, or 57.1%, of the 14 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has won six of its 12 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of their 17 opportunities.
  • The Rays have an ATS record of 7-10-0 in 17 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have come away with five wins in the 10 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Seattle has come away with a win one times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Seattle have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in nine of 17 chances this season.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 11-6-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Wander Franco paces the Rays in home runs (four) and runs batted in (12).
  • Franco’s home runs rank him 10th in the majors, and he ranks 13th in RBI.
  • Franco carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Choi is batting .357 to pace his team.
  • Choi is 58th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Brandon Lowe is hitting .206 with a double, three home runs and eight walks.
  • Yandy Diaz is hitting .273 with two doubles, a home run and 11 walks.
  • Diaz has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with a double, a home run, five walks and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Wander Franco 16 .338 .352 .647 4 12 23
Ji-Man Choi 15 .357 .491 .595 2 10 15
Brandon Lowe 17 .206 .292 .365 3 8 13
Yandy Díaz 14 .273 .429 .386 1 3 12
Manuel Margot 13 .289 .360 .311 0 7 13

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • France leads the Mariners with five home runs and 21 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .368.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, France’s home run total is fifth and his RBI tally is first.
  • J.P. Crawford has four doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 walks while batting .356.
  • Crawford is 58th in homers and 59th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .271 with six doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
  • Adam Frazier has five doubles, a triple and seven walks while batting .239.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 17 .368 .443 .632 5 21 25
J.P. Crawford 17 .356 .466 .559 2 8 21
Eugenio Suárez 16 .271 .377 .525 3 10 16
Adam Frazier 17 .239 .316 .338 0 10 17
Jesse Winker 17 .158 .329 .175 0 6 9

Betting Tips for Rays vs. Mariners

We have the Mariners on the moneyline at +113 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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