Pirates vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/13/2022

by | May 13, 2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to pick up their 14th win of the season when they take on the Cincinnati Reds (8-24) Friday. The game begins at 6:35 PM ET, with the Pirates listed as -113 favorites on the moneyline. Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle.

Pirates vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Pirates vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Pirates -113 -107 8 -104 -116 -1.5 -180 +149

Computer Predictions for Pirates vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (-107) and Over (8)

Pirates vs. Reds Game Info

  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
  • Game Day: Friday, May 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Keller Mahle
6 GS 7
0-4 W-L 1-4
6.11 ERA 6.46
28.0 IP 30.2
10 BB 17
24 SO 32

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

  • Keller makes the start for the Pirates, his seventh of the season. He is 0-4 with a 6.11 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 28 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • In six games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 6.11, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .284 against him.
  • Keller heads into this game with one quality start under his belt this season.
  • Keller has put together two starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • The opposing Reds offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.351) and ranks 21st in MLB play with 26 home runs. It has a collective .218 batting average, and is 25th in MLB with 226 total hits and 14th in MLB play scoring 132 runs.
  • Keller has a 10.38 ERA and a 2.077 WHIP against the Reds this season in 4 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .316 batting average over one appearance.

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

  • Mahle (1-4) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on one hit in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 6.46 ERA this season with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 5.0 walks per nine across seven games.
  • Mahle has not earned a quality start in seven starts this season.
  • Mahle has three starts of five or more innings this season in seven chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
  • The Pirates have scored 113 runs this season, which ranks 25th in MLB. They are batting .235 for the campaign with 25 home runs, 23rd in the league.
  • The Pirates have gone 1-for-16 with a home run and two RBI in five innings this season against the right-hander.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have won three of the six games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 3-3 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
  • So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 31 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have an ATS record of 16-15-0 in 31 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have come away with seven wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 7-20 when favored by -107 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 21 of their 32 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 12-20-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ben Gamel paces the Pirates with 14 runs batted in.
  • Gamel’s home runs put him 133rd in the majors, and he is 72nd in RBI.
  • Gamel carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has a club-high .320 batting average.
  • Hayes ranks 300th in home runs in MLB, and 209th in RBI.
  • Daniel Vogelbach paces the Pirates with five home runs.
  • Bryan Reynolds is hitting .222 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks.
Ben Gamel 31 .299 .376 .443 2 14 29
Ke’Bryan Hayes 29 .320 .413 .398 0 7 33
Daniel Vogelbach 26 .247 .324 .452 5 12 23
Bryan Reynolds 29 .222 .323 .380 4 6 24
Michael Chavis 26 .269 .286 .474 3 13 21

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury paces the Reds with six homers while racking up a team-leading batting average of .253.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Drury is 22nd in home runs and 36th in RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has five doubles, four home runs and 19 walks while batting .245.
  • Pham ranks 55th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 118th in RBI.
  • Tyler Stephenson is batting .349 with five doubles, four home runs and six walks.
  • Colin Moran has recorded a team-high 21 runs batted in.
Brandon Drury 27 .253 .337 .527 6 18 23
Tommy Pham 30 .245 .360 .406 4 11 26
Tyler Stephenson 21 .349 .417 .619 4 19 22
Colin Moran 24 .217 .288 .420 4 21 15
Tyler Naquin 25 .242 .296 .418 2 19 22

Betting Tips for Pirates vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at -107 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

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