Phillies vs. Rangers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/4/2022

by | May 4, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (11-13) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the Texas Rangers (9-14) to complete a two-game series. Bookmakers have listed the Phillies as -183 favorites for the series finale, while the Rangers are +156 underdogs. Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Martin Perez.

Phillies vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -183 +156 8 -115 -105 -1.5 +111 -134

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Rangers

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+156) and Over (8)

Phillies vs. Rangers Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Wheeler Pérez
4 GS 4
1-3 W-L 0-2
5.79 ERA 3.00
18.2 IP 21.0
8 BB 5
18 SO 16

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies, his fifth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA and 18 strikeouts through 18 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, the righty tossed six scoreless innings against the Colorado Rockies while surrendering one hit.
  • The 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.79, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents are batting .247 against him.
  • Wheeler is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face off against a Rangers offense that is batting .224 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .344 (21st in MLB) with 21 total home runs (13th in MLB).

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

  • Perez (0-2) will take to the mound for the Rangers and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw seven innings against the Houston Astros, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.00 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .211 in four games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Pérez will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Phillies rank fourth in MLB with a .246 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.411) and 26 home runs.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 17 times and won nine, or 52.9%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 5-1 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -183 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of their 24 opportunities.
  • The Phillies are 11-13-0 ATS in their 24 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have come away with eight wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has been listed as an underdog of +156 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Texas have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 11 of 23 chances this season.
  • The Rangers are 12-11-0 against the spread in their 23 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper is hitting .242 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and seven walks.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Harper is 26th in homers and 13th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s seven home runs and 16 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Schwarber ranks third in home runs in baseball, and 10th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .322 with three doubles, two home runs and seven walks.
  • Bohm will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos’ .286 batting average is a team-high mark.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryce Harper 24 .242 .304 .473 4 15 22
Kyle Schwarber 22 .188 .301 .488 7 16 15
Alec Bohm 22 .322 .380 .475 2 14 19
Nicholas Castellanos 23 .286 .358 .452 3 12 24
J.T. Realmuto 22 .272 .344 .395 2 4 22

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers in home runs (four) and runs batted in (18).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Garcia is 26th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Corey Seager has a team-high four home runs.
  • Seager ranks 26th in homers and 46th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Jonah Heim has two doubles, three home runs and seven walks while hitting .364.
  • Nate Lowe leads the Rangers with a .299 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Adolis García 23 .207 .276 .414 4 18 18
Corey Seager 22 .270 .327 .416 4 12 24
Jonah Heim 11 .364 .475 .697 3 10 12
Nate Lowe 23 .299 .358 .379 1 9 26
Marcus Semien 23 .163 .233 .217 0 8 15

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Rangers

We have the Rangers on the moneyline at +156 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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