Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

by | Jun 19, 2022

The Washington Nationals (23-46 look to avoid the sweep when they host the Philadelphia Phillies (36-31) in the final game of a five-game set. Bookmakers have listed the Phillies as -174 favorites, while the Nationals are +149 underdogs to pick up a win. Zach Eflin will get the ball for Philadelphia while Washington counter with Jackson Tetreault.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -174 +149 9.5 -115 -105 -1.5 -114 -107

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+149) and Over (9.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zach Eflin
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Jackson Tetreault
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Eflin Tetreault
11 GS 1
2-4 W-L 0-1
4.28 ERA 15.75
61.0 IP 4.0
13 BB 1
51 SO 2

Phillies Starter Zach Eflin

  • The Phillies are sending Eflin (2-4) to the mound to make his 12th start of the season. He is 2-4 with a 4.28 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 61 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has a 4.28 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 11 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .249 to his opponents.
  • Eflin is looking to pick up his fifth quality start of the year in this game.
  • Eflin heads into this matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • He will face a Nationals offense that ranks 18th in the league with 280 runs while batting .252 as a unit. It has a collective .376 slugging percentage (25th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 55 home runs (24th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Jackson Tetreault

  • Tetreault will get the start for the Nationals, his second of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs while allowing nine hits against the Atlanta Braves.
  • He has an ERA of 15.75, a batting average against of .450 and 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings in one games this season.
  • The Phillies rank ninth in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fourth in the league (.424) and 87 home runs.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 43 times and won 26, or 60.5%, of those games.
  • This season, Philadelphia has won nine of its 12 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -174 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 63.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 38 of 67 chances this season.
  • The Phillies are 35-32-0 against the spread in their 67 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have won in 18, or 30.5%, of the 59 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Washington has won 10 of 30 games when listed as at least +149 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 40.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 37 of their 69 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 28-41-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper comes into Sunday’s game hitting .326 with 48 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Phillies. He has also connected on 15 home runs in 2022.
  • Harper ranks 16th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Harper brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .441 with two doubles, a home run, seven walks and four RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he paces his team with 18 home runs.
  • Schwarber ranks fifth in home runs and 27th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Rhys Hoskins is batting .252 with 12 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Hoskins is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has 17 doubles, seven home runs and 20 walks while hitting .256.
Bryce Harper 60 .326 .391 .622 15 48 75
Kyle Schwarber 65 .212 .344 .487 18 37 50
Rhys Hoskins 66 .252 .336 .472 13 37 63
Nicholas Castellanos 66 .256 .313 .406 7 36 65
J.T. Realmuto 59 .238 .318 .350 3 24 51

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Josh Bell with a mark of 44, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .302.
  • Bell’s home run total places him 39th in the big leagues, and he is 11th in RBI.
  • Bell takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with four home runs, four walks and six RBI.
  • Juan Soto has racked up a team-best 13 home runs.
  • Soto ranks 21st in homers and 88th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Nelson Cruz has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks while hitting .250.
  • Cesar Hernandez has 14 doubles, two triples and 17 walks while hitting .267.
Josh Bell 68 .302 .382 .486 11 44 74
Juan Soto 67 .210 .363 .424 13 28 50
Nelson Cruz 63 .250 .332 .384 7 36 58
César Hernández 68 .267 .315 .331 0 16 75
Maikel Franco 68 .254 .273 .369 5 29 66

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +149 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

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