Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/16/2022

by | Jun 16, 2022

The Washington Nationals (23-42) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they host the Philadelphia Phillies (32-31) on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Phillies to be -200 favorites for the contest, while the Nationals are +169 underdogs looking for the upset. Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -200 +169 9.5 -109 -112 -1.5 -123 +102

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+169) and Over (9.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Thursday, June 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Wheeler Corbin
11 GS 13
5-3 W-L 3-8
2.84 ERA 6.65
63.1 IP 66.1
15 BB 26
75 SO 55

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies, his 12th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 63 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
  • The 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.84, with 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents are batting .228 against him.
  • Wheeler is seeking his sixth straight quality start.
  • Wheeler will try to pitch five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Nationals offense has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and ranks 26th in MLB play with 51 home runs. It has a collective .254 batting average, and is fifth in MLB with 558 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 268 runs.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 32-year-old ranks 21st in ERA (2.84), 28th in WHIP (1.089), and sixth in K/9 (10.7).

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals will send Corbin (3-8) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 6.65, a 2.115 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.734.
  • In 13 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
  • Corbin has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Phillies have scored 304 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 540 hits, eighth in baseball, with 81 home runs (third in the league).
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 32-year-old ranks 62nd in ERA (6.65), 62nd in WHIP (1.734), and 43rd in K/9 (7.5).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 39 games this season and won 22 (56.4%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 5-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 63 games with a total.
  • The Phillies are 33-30-0 against the spread in their 63 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (32.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win five times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +169 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 65 opportunities.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 26-39-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper comes into Thursday’s game hitting .317 with 46 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Phillies. He has also launched 15 homers in 2022.
  • Harper ranks 14th in homers and sixth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Harper has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .313 with a double, five walks and an RBI.
  • Rhys Hoskins is batting .253 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Hoskins is 17th in homers and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Hoskins has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 16 home runs.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .253 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks.
Bryce Harper 57 .317 .380 .620 15 46 70
Rhys Hoskins 62 .253 .336 .481 13 36 60
Kyle Schwarber 61 .207 .332 .468 16 34 46
Nicholas Castellanos 62 .253 .309 .401 7 31 60
J.T. Realmuto 56 .243 .317 .361 3 21 49

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has swatted a team- leading 13 home runs.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Soto is 17th in homers and 79th in RBI.
  • Josh Bell has a club-leading 38 RBI and .294 batting average.
  • Bell ranks 77th in home runs and 24th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Nelson Cruz is hitting .260 with nine doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .269 with 14 doubles, a triple and 17 walks.
Juan Soto 63 .219 .371 .446 13 28 49
Josh Bell 64 .294 .372 .437 7 38 68
Nelson Cruz 59 .260 .337 .397 7 36 57
César Hernández 64 .269 .316 .328 0 16 72
Maikel Franco 64 .257 .278 .380 5 28 63

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +169 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 9.5 runs.

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