Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/15/2022

by | Jun 15, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (31-31) and Rhys Hoskins (four hits last time out) are favored (-135) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Miami Marlins (28-32) on Wednesday at 1:05 PM ET. Kyle Gibson gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Pablo Lopez is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -135 +115 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +150 -170

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+115) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Gibson López
12 GS 12
4-2 W-L 4-2
4.41 ERA 2.43
63.1 IP 70.1
20 BB 19
56 SO 72

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

  • Gibson makes the start for the Phillies, his 13th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 56 strikeouts in 63 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 34-year-old has a 4.41 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings across 12 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .250 to opposing hitters.
  • Gibson has five quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Gibson has put together eight starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • He will face off against a Marlins offense that ranks 17th in MLB with 491 total hits (on a .242 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .398 (12th in MLB) with 68 total home runs (13th in MLB).
  • Gibson has thrown 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits while striking out six against the Marlins this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 34-year-old’s 4.41 ERA ranks 51st, 1.263 WHIP ranks 44th, and 8 K/9 ranks 33rd.

Marlins Starter Pablo López

  • Lopez (4-2) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Saturday.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.43 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .205 in 12 games this season.
  • In 12 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
  • Lopez has made nine starts of five or more innings in 12 chances this season, and averages 5.3 frames when he pitches.
  • The Phillies have scored 301 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 532 hits, seventh in baseball, with 80 home runs (third in the league).
  • The right-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 4-for-19 with two doubles in 5 1/3 innings this season.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 2.43 ERA ranks 11th, 1.024 WHIP ranks 17th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 20th.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 21 (55.3%) of those contests.
  • This season, Philadelphia has won 11 of its 24 games, or 45.8%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 36 of 62 chances this season.
  • The Phillies have an ATS record of 32-30-0 in 62 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (36.4%) in those games.
  • Miami has a mark of 6-12 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 31 of their 60 opportunities.
  • The Marlins are 32-28-0 against the spread in their 60 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper paces the Phillies with 46 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .318.
  • In all of the majors, Harper is 12th in homers and sixth in RBI.
  • Harper carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .438 with a double, five walks and an RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s 16 home runs lead his team.
  • Schwarber is sixth in homers and 33rd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Hoskins is batting .249 with 11 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Hoskins is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .550 with two doubles, four home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has 14 doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks while hitting .258.
  • Castellanos is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double and two RBI.
Bryce Harper 56 .318 .382 .627 15 46 69
Kyle Schwarber 60 .210 .333 .475 16 34 46
Rhys Hoskins 61 .249 .333 .472 13 36 58
Nicholas Castellanos 61 .258 .314 .408 7 31 60
J.T. Realmuto 55 .243 .314 .361 3 21 49

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (13) and runs batted in (41).
  • In all of the majors, Chisholm is 17th in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler is hitting .221 with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Soler ranks 23rd overall in homers and 69th in RBI this season.
  • Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins’ lineup with a .311 batting average.
  • Jesus Aguilar has 11 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks while hitting .247.
Jazz Chisholm 50 .251 .307 .546 13 41 46
Jorge Soler 56 .221 .311 .446 12 29 47
Garrett Cooper 54 .311 .382 .461 4 28 60
Jesús Aguilar 57 .247 .300 .423 9 30 53
Miguel Rojas 52 .216 .280 .330 4 15 38

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +115 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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