Phillies vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/10/2022

by | May 10, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (12-16), led by the red-hot Jean Segura and his two-game homer streak, are -121 favorites to pick up a win over the Seattle Mariners (13-16) Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, live from T-Mobile Park. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Robbie Ray.

Phillies vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -121 +101 7 -103 -117 -1.5 +146 -175

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+101) and Over (7)

Phillies vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Nola Ray
6 GS 6
1-3 W-L 2-3
3.37 ERA 4.38
34.2 IP 37.0
6 BB 13
41 SO 31

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

  • Nola gets the start for the Phillies, his seventh of the season. He is 1-3 with a 3.37 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent time out was on Thursday against the New York Mets, when he threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • In six games this season, the 28-year-old has a 3.37 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .197 to his opponents.
  • Nola is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
  • Nola is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face a Mariners offense that ranks 13th in the league with 118 runs while batting .229 as a unit. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (14th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 31 home runs (seventh in MLB).
  • The 28-year-old ranks 38th in ERA (3.37), ninth in WHIP (.865), and 10th in K/9 (10.6) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Ray (2-3) for his seventh start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.38 and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .239 in six games this season.
  • He has three quality starts in six chances this season.
  • Ray has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Phillies rank fifth in MLB with a .247 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks third in the league (.405) and 30 home runs.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 49th in ERA (4.38), 42nd in WHIP (1.243), and 37th in K/9 (7.5) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 20 games this season and won 10 (50%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has entered 18 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 8-10 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 14 of their 29 chances.
  • The Phillies are 13-16-0 against the spread in their 29 chances this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (30%) in those games.
  • Seattle has a mark of 4-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Contests with Seattle have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 30 chances this season.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 15-15-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper has been the Phillies top run producer this season, leading the team with 19 RBI while hitting .241 with six home runs.
  • In all of the majors, Harper ranks 14th in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s seven home runs pace his team.
  • Schwarber ranks sixth in home runs and 31st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has six doubles, four home runs and nine walks while hitting .293.
  • Castellanos has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with three doubles, a home run and five RBI.
  • Alec Bohm has a club-high .312 batting average.
  • Bohm brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .304 with a double.
Bryce Harper 28 .241 .294 .500 6 19 26
Kyle Schwarber 26 .211 .318 .474 7 16 20
Nicholas Castellanos 27 .293 .360 .475 4 15 29
Alec Bohm 26 .312 .360 .442 2 14 24
Jean Segura 23 .284 .337 .409 3 7 25

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France has put up a team-leading 22 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, France ranks 28th in home runs and fifth in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .340 to lead the lineup.
  • Crawford is currently 41st in home runs and 112th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Adam Frazier is hitting .246 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 11 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team- leading six home runs.
Ty France 29 .319 .385 .474 5 22 37
J.P. Crawford 28 .340 .435 .546 4 10 33
Adam Frazier 29 .246 .317 .342 1 13 28
Eugenio Suárez 28 .204 .305 .456 6 17 21
Jesse Winker 29 .196 .314 .275 1 9 20

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +101 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

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