Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/24/2022

by | Apr 24, 2022

A pair of surging power hitters meet Sunday when Kyle Schwarber — with his two-game homer streak in tow — and the Philadelphia Phillies (6-9) take on Rowdy Tellez (home runs in two straight) and the Milwaukee Brewers (9-6). The Phillies are favorites (-155) for the contest, which starts at 7:08 PM ET, live from Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against Milwaukee’s Eric Lauer.

Phillies vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Brewers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -155 +133 8 -114 -106 -1.5 +129 -153

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Brewers

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+133) and Over (8)

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Nola Lauer
3 GS 2
1-2 W-L 1-0
5.52 ERA 3.48
14.2 IP 10.1
4 BB 3
16 SO 10

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

  • Nola gets the start for the Phillies, his fourth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the righty tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.52, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are hitting .241 against him.
  • The opposing Brewers offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.340) and ranks 22nd in MLB play with 11 home runs. It has a collective .209 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 99 total hits and 19th in MLB play scoring 53 runs.

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer will get the start for the Brewers, his third of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Monday, when he threw six innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up one earned run.
  • He has an ERA of 3.48, a 3.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.065 in two games this season.
  • In two starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
  • In two starts this season, Lauer has lasted five or more innings one time, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Phillies have scored 64 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They have 127 hits, fourth in baseball, with 15 home runs (fourth in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 11 times and won five, or 45.5%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 2-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -155 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in six of their 15 chances.
  • The Phillies are 6-9-0 ATS in their 15 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have split the two match ups they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Milwaukee this season with a +133 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in four of their 15 opportunities.
  • The Brewers have posted a record of 6-9-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nicholas Castellanos paces the Phillies with a .321 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Castellanos’ home run total places him 16th, and his RBI tally ranks him 28th.
  • Bryce Harper has collected 11 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Harper ranks 44th in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Harper carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with two doubles and two RBI.
  • Alec Bohm has two doubles, a home run and four walks while hitting .393.
  • Schwarber has hit four home runs to lead his team.
  • Schwarber takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nicholas Castellanos 15 .321 .381 .571 3 9 18
Bryce Harper 15 .241 .318 .448 2 11 14
Alec Bohm 13 .393 .417 .571 1 9 11
Kyle Schwarber 14 .164 .246 .400 4 9 9
Rhys Hoskins 15 .213 .373 .404 1 4 10

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Tellez paces the Brewers with three long balls and runs batted in, driving in eight.
  • Tellez’s home run total places him 16th in the majors, and he ranks 40th in RBI.
  • Tellez has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .118 with two home runs and three RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .204 with four doubles, a home run and eight walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Yelich ranks 103rd in homers and 61st in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen has four doubles and four walks while hitting .255.
  • Hunter Renfroe paces the Brewers with a .260 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 14 .227 .277 .500 3 8 10
Christian Yelich 14 .204 .322 .347 1 7 10
Andrew McCutchen 14 .255 .310 .333 0 6 13
Hunter Renfroe 14 .260 .309 .460 2 5 13
Willy Adames 15 .200 .302 .291 1 4 11

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Brewers

We have the Brewers on the moneyline at +133 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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