Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/22/2022

by | Apr 21, 2022

After a four-hit game in a win over the Rockies, Johan Camargo leads the Philadelphia Phillies (4-8) as -120 favorites against the Milwaukee Brewers (8-5). Action gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 7:05 PM ET on Friday. Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez gets the start, and he’ll go against Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta.

Phillies vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Brewers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -120 +100 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +160 -190

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Brewers

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+100) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
  • Game Day: Friday, April 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Suárez Peralta
1 GS 2
0-0 W-L 0-1
10.13 ERA 11.57
2.2 IP 7.0
1 BB 6
1 SO 10

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

  • Suarez (0-0) starts for the Phillies, his second of the season.
  • His most recent appearance came on Monday, April 11 against the New York Mets, when the left-hander went 2 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Over his one games this season, opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .357 against him. He has a 10.13 ERA and averages 3.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The opposing Brewers offense has a collective .208 batting average, and is 15th in the league with 85 total hits and 16th in MLB play with 46 runs scored. It has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.348) and ranks 15th in home runs (10) in all of MLB.

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta heads to the mound for the Brewers to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he threw three innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up six earned runs.
  • He has an ERA of 11.57, a 1.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 2.286 in two games this season.
  • The Phillies rank 14th in MLB with 47 runs scored this season. They have a .251 batting average this campaign with 15 home runs (third in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in nine games this season and won four (44.4%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has entered eight games this season favored by -120 or more and is 3-5 in those contests.
  • The Phillies have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in five of their 12 chances.
  • The Phillies are 4-8-0 ATS in their 12 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have yet to play a game this season where they are named as the underdog.
  • Oddsmakers have given Milwaukee the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +100 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in four of their 13 opportunities.
  • In 13 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 5-8-0 against the spread.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nicholas Castellanos has four doubles, three home runs and four walks while batting .267.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Castellanos is 62nd in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage, and 23rd in slugging.
  • Castellanos takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he paces his team with four home runs and nine runs batted in.
  • Schwarber is fifth in homers in MLB, and 16th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .444 with two doubles, a home run and four walks.
  • Bryce Harper is batting .213 with three doubles, two home runs and four walks.
  • Harper has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
Nicholas Castellanos 12 .267 .340 .556 3 6 12
Kyle Schwarber 12 .170 .264 .447 4 9 8
Alec Bohm 10 .444 .500 .722 1 4 8
Bryce Harper 12 .213 .283 .404 2 8 10
J.T. Realmuto 11 .333 .378 .452 1 2 14

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez has managed a team-high three home runs and has driven in eight runs.
  • Tellez’s home run total places him 12th in MLB, and he ranks 24th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich has four doubles, a home run and eight walks while hitting .195.
  • Yelich is 78th overall in home runs and 56th in RBI this season.
  • Andrew McCutchen paces the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .250.
  • Kolten Wong is hitting .191 with a double, two triples and a walk.
Rowdy Tellez 12 .270 .325 .595 3 8 10
Christian Yelich 12 .195 .333 .366 1 6 8
Andrew McCutchen 12 .250 .306 .318 0 5 11
Kolten Wong 13 .191 .220 .298 0 5 9
Willy Adames 13 .167 .273 .271 1 3 8

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Brewers

Our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +100 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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