Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/17/2022

by | Apr 17, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to pick up their fourth win of the season when they take on the Miami Marlins (3-4) Sunday. The game begins at 1:40 PM ET, with the Phillies listed as -148 favorites on the moneyline. Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Miami’s Elieser Hernandez have been named the starters for this contest.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -148 +126 7.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +114 -135

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+126) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Elieser Hernandez
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Wheeler Hernandez
1 GS 1
0-1 W-L 0-1
1.93 ERA 7.71
4.2 IP 4.2
1 BB 3
3 SO 6

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

  • The Phillies will look to Wheeler (0-1) in his second start this season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
  • In one games this season, he has a 1.93 ERA and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .125 against him.
  • He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 23rd in the league with 25 runs while batting .220 as a unit. It has a collective .366 slugging percentage (20th in MLB action) and has hit a total of six home runs (22nd in MLB).

Marlins Starter Elieser Hernandez

  • Hernandez heads to the mound for the Marlins to make his second start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Angels, throwing 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched to a 7.71 ERA this season with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 5.8 walks per nine across one games.
  • The Phillies have scored 29 runs this season, which ranks 21st in MLB. They are batting .243 for the campaign with eight home runs, 14th in the league.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies were favorites in 91 games last season and won 49 (53.8%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia had a record of 28-19 in games where oddsmakers favored them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
  • Philadelphia’s games went over the total in 79 of their 162 chances last season.
  • The Phillies were 59-59-0 ATS in their 118 games with a spread last season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with one win in the five contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has been listed as an underdog of +126 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in two of their seven opportunities.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread record of 5-2-0 in seven games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper hit 35 home runs while racking up a batting average of .309 last season.
  • Nicholas Castellanos had 100 RBI while hitting .309.
  • Jean Segura hit .290 last season with 27 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Kyle Schwarber hit .266 with 19 doubles, 32 home runs and 64 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryce Harper 141 .309 .429 .615 35 84 151
Nicholas Castellanos 138 .309 .362 .576 34 100 164
Jean Segura 131 .290 .348 .436 14 58 149
Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
Rhys Hoskins 107 .247 .334 .530 27 71 96

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Avisail Garcia collected 29 home runs while slugging .490 last season.
  • Jesus Aguilar was productive with 93 RBI while picking up 117 hits.
  • Jorge Soler hit .223 last season with 27 doubles, 27 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Miguel Rojas had a .265 batting average with 131 hits.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jesús Sánchez 7 .310 .333 .690 2 6 9
Jazz Chisholm 6 .278 .364 .778 2 7 5
Joey Wendle 6 .368 .400 .474 0 2 7
Garrett Cooper 7 .280 .379 .440 1 2 7
Jon Berti 4 .500 .714 .500 0 0 2

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Marlins

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +126. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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