Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

by | Jun 17, 2022

Following a four-hit effort in a loss to the Guardians, Brian Serven leads the Colorado Rockies (27-37) into action as +133 underdogs against the San Diego Padres (41-24). The game gets underway from Coors Field at 8:40 PM ET on Friday. San Diego’s MacKenzie Gore gets the start, and he’ll go against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland.

Padres vs. Rockies Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Rockies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -156 +133 11.5 -119 -101 -1.5 -104 -117

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Rockies

Our computer pick: Colorado Rockies (+133) and Under (11.5)

Padres vs. Rockies Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
  • Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
  • Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:40 PM ET
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Stadium: Coors Field

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Pitching Matchup

Gore Freeland
9 GS 12
4-2 W-L 2-5
2.50 ERA 4.39
50.1 IP 65.2
21 BB 22
60 SO 48

Padres Starter MacKenzie Gore

  • Gore (4-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 50 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Padres, his 10th of the season.
  • The lefty’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when he threw 2 1/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • In 10 games this season, the 23-year-old has a 2.50 ERA and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .214 to his opponents.
  • Gore has three quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Gore heads into the game with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • He will face a Rockies offense that ranks 12th in the league with 284 runs while batting .258 as a squad. It has a collective .389 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 54 home runs (23rd in MLB).
  • Gore has pitched 2 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits while striking out three against the Rockies this season.

Rockies Starter Kyle Freeland

  • Freeland (2-5) will take to the mound for the Rockies and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.39 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Freeland has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Padres have scored 309 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .243 for the campaign with 54 home runs, 23rd in the league.
  • The Padres have gone 3-for-20 with two doubles and two RBI in six innings this season against the left-hander.
  • Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 29-year-old’s 4.39 ERA ranks 50th, 1.416 WHIP ranks 55th, and 6.6 K/9 ranks 52nd.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 28 (63.6%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 16-6, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 66 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 36-30-0 ATS in their 66 games with a spread this season.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 18 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Colorado has come away with a win eight times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 42.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 65 opportunities.
  • In 65 games with a line this season, the Rockies have a mark of 31-34-0 against the spread.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado paces the Padres with 11 home runs and 43 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .328.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Machado ranks sixth in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
  • Machado brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with a home run, three walks and six RBI.
  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 35 walks.
  • Profar is 59th in home runs and 34th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Profar carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .246 with 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 29 walks.
  • Cronenworth is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .476 with four doubles, three walks and four RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer is batting .284 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 22 walks.
  • Hosmer has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, three walks and four RBI.
Manny Machado 63 .328 .400 .537 11 43 80
Jurickson Profar 64 .253 .349 .436 8 35 61
Jake Cronenworth 64 .246 .336 .399 6 40 61
Eric Hosmer 59 .284 .347 .392 4 29 63
Ha-Seong Kim 57 .222 .314 .356 4 23 43

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • C.J. Cron has managed a team-high 14 home runs and has driven in 44 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Cron is 16th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
  • Charlie Blackmon is hitting .259 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 17 walks.
  • Blackmon ranks 42nd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 43rd in RBI.
  • Connor Joe has 10 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 32 walks while batting .269.
  • Brendan Rodgers is batting .252 with 12 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
C.J. Cron 64 .285 .335 .526 14 44 71
Charlie Blackmon 57 .259 .315 .444 10 33 60
Connor Joe 60 .269 .360 .399 5 16 64
Brendan Rodgers 53 .252 .304 .395 6 28 53
José Iglesias 52 .302 .347 .370 0 17 57

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Rockies

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Rockies on the moneyline at +133. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 11.5 runs.

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