Padres vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/26/2022

by | Apr 25, 2022

Seeking their 11th win of the year, the San Diego Padres (10-7) are favorites (-160) on the moneyline when they take on the Cincinnati Reds (3-13) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove and Cincinnati’s Reiver Sanmartin have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -160 +140 8 -115 -105 -1.5 +100 -120

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+140) and Over (8)

Padres vs. Reds Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Reiver Sanmartin
  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Musgrove Sanmartin
3 GS 2
2-0 W-L 0-2
1.89 ERA 7.11
19.0 IP 12.2
1 BB 6
21 SO 8

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove (2-0) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his fourth start of the season. He has a 1.89 ERA in 19 innings pitched, with 21 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went 6 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.89, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are hitting .191 against him.
  • Musgrove is trying to prolong a third-game quality start streak in this game.
  • Musgrove will try to build on a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
  • He meets a Reds offense that ranks 29th in the league with 43 runs while batting .186 as a squad. It has a collective .277 slugging percentage (30th in MLB action) and has hit a total of nine home runs (28th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Reds this season, Musgrove has pitched 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits while striking out seven.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 29-year-old ranks 12th in ERA (1.89), third in WHIP (.737), and 14th in K/9 (9.9).

Reds Starter Reiver Sanmartin

  • Sanmartin will get the start for the Reds, his third of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up five earned runs.
  • He has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 7.11, a 1.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.579.
  • Sanmartin has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Padres have scored 67 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They have 120 hits, 17th in baseball, with 13 home runs (17th in the league).
  • This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Padres in one game, and they have gone 8-for-23 with three doubles, a home run and five RBI over 5 1/3 innings.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 11 times this season and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.
  • San Diego has been at least a -160 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in five of their 17 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 10-7-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have won in three, or 23.1%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 2-9 when favored by +140 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in seven of their 16 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds are 5-11-0 against the spread in their 16 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado leads the Padres in OBP, slugging, and hits, getting on base at a rate of .423 while slugging .565 and racking up 21 base hits.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Machado is 19th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging.
  • Jurickson Profar has shown his power as he leads his team with four home runs and 11 RBI.
  • Profar is 10th in home runs and 17th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Profar carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer has a team-best batting average of .375.
  • Hosmer is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double and two RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .193 with a double, a triple, a home run and 11 walks.
Manny Machado 17 .339 .423 .565 3 10 21
Jurickson Profar 16 .224 .361 .531 4 11 11
Eric Hosmer 15 .375 .397 .482 0 5 21
Jake Cronenworth 17 .193 .338 .298 1 6 11
Austin Nola 14 .224 .298 .286 1 8 11

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Tyler Naquin is batting .250 with four doubles, a home run and four walks.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Naquin’s home run total is 108th and his RBI tally ranks 107th.
  • Kyle Farmer’s seven runs batted in and .236 batting average both lead his team.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Farmer is 232nd in home runs and 84th in RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has two home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Brandon Drury has swatted a team- leading two long balls.
Tyler Naquin 11 .250 .318 .425 1 6 10
Kyle Farmer 16 .236 .311 .291 0 7 13
Tommy Pham 14 .167 .273 .333 2 3 8
Brandon Drury 12 .206 .270 .441 2 5 7
Jake Fraley 11 .129 .229 .258 1 3 4

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +140 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

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