Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/1/2022

by | May 2, 2022

Eric Hosmer, batting .389 this season, leads the San Diego Padres (14-8) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Ke’Bryan Hayes (.343 AVG) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (9-11). Hosmer and the Padres are -193 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at PNC Park, beginning at 1:35 PM ET. Joe Musgrove will get the ball for San Diego while Pittsburgh counter with Mitch Keller.

Padres vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -193 +163 7.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -109 -111

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+163) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Pirates Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Musgrove Keller
4 GS 4
3-0 W-L 0-3
2.16 ERA 6.62
25.0 IP 17.2
2 BB 7
25 SO 16

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove (3-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 25 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his fifth of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.16, with 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents are hitting .217 against him.
  • Musgrove is seeking his fifth quality start in a row.
  • Musgrove will try to extend a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
  • The opposing Pirates offense has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.344) and ranks 24th in MLB play with 12 home runs. It has a collective .239 batting average, and is 14th in MLB with 160 total hits and 22nd in MLB action scoring 77 runs.
  • This season, the 29-year-old ranks 18th in ERA (2.16), 13th in WHIP (.880), and 21st in K/9 (9.0) among pitchers who qualify.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

  • Keller (0-3) will take to the mound for the Pirates and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 6.62, a 2.286 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.642.
  • Keller has started four games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings one time. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Padres are batting .231 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .379 (15th in the league) with 21 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 16 games this season and won 12 (75%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has played as a favorite of -193 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 65.9% chance to win.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 10 of their 22 opportunities.
  • In 22 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 14-8-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with seven wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won one of three games when listed as at least +163 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 38% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in eight of their 20 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates are 11-9-0 against the spread in their 20 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado has accumulated a team-best 15 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Machado ranks 20th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
  • Machado takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .429 with two doubles, two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
  • Hosmer’s .389 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Hosmer ranks 46th in home runs and 15th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Jurickson Profar has a team-best five home runs and 15 runs batted in.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .215 with two doubles, two triples, two home runs and 14 walks.
  • Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with a double, a triple, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 22 .386 .453 .614 4 15 32
Eric Hosmer 20 .389 .457 .597 3 14 28
Jurickson Profar 21 .186 .318 .457 5 15 13
Jake Cronenworth 22 .215 .344 .367 2 12 17
Ha-Seong Kim 16 .271 .364 .562 3 10 13

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Hayes leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .343.
  • In all of MLB, Hayes ranks 256th in homers and 150th in RBI.
  • Hayes has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has put his power on display as he leads his team with three home runs.
  • Vogelbach is currently 46th in homers and 100th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Michael Chavis has been a significant run producer for the Pirates with three home runs and 11 runs batted in.
  • Ben Gamel is hitting .228 with two doubles, a home run and eight walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ke’Bryan Hayes 19 .343 .416 .433 0 6 23
Daniel Vogelbach 16 .328 .381 .534 3 8 19
Michael Chavis 16 .302 .321 .547 3 11 16
Ben Gamel 20 .228 .323 .316 1 7 13
Bryan Reynolds 18 .191 .295 .309 2 4 13

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +163 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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