Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/8/2022

by | May 8, 2022

Jazz Chisholm (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Miami Marlins (13-14) and San Diego Padres (18-10) meet Sunday at 4:10 PM ET, live from PETCO Park. Jazz Chisholm and the Marlins are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by sportsbooks (+142). Joe Musgrove starts for San Diego while Trevor Rogers is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -165 +142 6.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +138 -163

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+142) and Over (6.5)

Padres vs. Marlins Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Musgrove Rogers
5 GS 5
4-0 W-L 1-4
1.97 ERA 6.14
32.0 IP 22.0
2 BB 11
33 SO 18

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove makes the start for the Padres, his sixth of the season. He is 4-0 with a 1.97 ERA and 33 strikeouts through 32 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the righty went seven innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 1.97, with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season. Opponents have a .227 batting average against him.
  • Musgrove is aiming for his sixth straight quality start.
  • Musgrove will try to build upon a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
  • He will take the mound against a Marlins squad that is batting .233 as a unit (16th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .374 (16th in MLB) with 24 total home runs (15th in MLB).
  • The 29-year-old ranks 15th in ERA (1.97), 14th in WHIP (.906), and 20th in K/9 (9.3) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

  • The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (1-4) for his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 6.14 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .262 in five games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in five starts this season.
  • Rogers has made three starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 4.1 frames when he pitches.
  • The Padres are batting .223 this season, 23rd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .359 (21st in the league) with 24 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have won 15, or 68.2%, of the 22 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego has entered eight games this season favored by -165 or more, and won each of those games.
  • The Padres have a 62.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of their 29 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 16-13-0 ATS in their 29 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with six wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +142.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Miami and their opponents have gone over in 12 of their 27 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread record of 14-13-0 in 27 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.381), home runs (7), and RBI (21).
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Manny Machado’s home run total places him sixth, and his RBI tally puts him fifth.
  • Manny Machado brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with three home runs, five walks and five RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer has eight doubles, three home runs and 13 walks while hitting .355.
  • Hosmer is 68th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .167 with five doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
  • Jake Cronenworth has two doubles, two triples, two home runs and 16 walks while hitting .204.
Manny Machado 28 .381 .459 .648 7 21 40
Eric Hosmer 26 .355 .434 .538 3 18 33
Jurickson Profar 27 .167 .309 .389 5 16 15
Jake Cronenworth 28 .204 .317 .320 2 14 21
Ha-Seong Kim 22 .221 .329 .441 3 11 15

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Chisholm paces the Marlins in home runs (four), runs batted in (20) and has a team-high batting average of .313.
  • In all of the big leagues, Chisholm is 39th in homers and ninth in RBI.
  • Chisholm carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with three doubles, a triple, three walks and five RBI.
  • Joey Wendle is hitting .273 with six doubles, a home run and six walks.
  • Wendle ranks 181st overall in homers and 161st in RBI this season.
  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .264 with a double, three home runs and 14 walks.
  • Jorge Soler leads the Marlins with four long balls.
Jazz Chisholm 23 .313 .359 .602 4 20 26
Joey Wendle 21 .273 .342 .409 1 8 18
Jesús Aguilar 25 .264 .352 .374 3 14 24
Jorge Soler 27 .178 .284 .347 4 12 18
Jesús Sánchez 25 .244 .306 .422 3 12 22

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +142 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 6.5 runs.

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