Padres vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/11/2022

by | May 11, 2022

The San Diego Padres (20-11) host the Chicago Cubs (10-18) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Padres are favored (-168) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park. San Diego is projected to give the ball to Nick Martinez, while Chicago has yet to name a starting pitcher.

Padres vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -168 +146 7 -118 -101 -1.5 +133 -159

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+146) and Over (7)

Padres vs. Cubs Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Nick Martinez
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

Padres Starter Nick Martinez

  • Martinez makes the start for the Padres, his sixth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 26 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In five games this season, the 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.37, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .258 against him.
  • Martínez is looking to secure his second quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • Martínez is looking to collect his fifth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • The opposing Cubs offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 20th in the league with 218 total hits and 21st in MLB action with 112 runs scored. It has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.366) and ranks 24th in home runs (21) in all of MLB.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 25 times this season and won 17, or 68%, of those games.
  • San Diego has entered nine games this season favored by -168 or more and is 8-1 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 62.7%.
  • Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 32 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 16-16-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have come away with eight wins in the 22 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +146 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 40.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 14 of their 28 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 14-14-0 in 28 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado paces the Padres in home runs (seven), runs batted in (22) and has a team-high batting average of .379.
  • Machado is seventh in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Machado carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .361 with a double, four home runs, seven walks and nine RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer is hitting .356 with eight doubles, three home runs and 13 walks.
  • Hosmer is 75th in home runs in the majors, and 19th in RBI.
  • Hosmer has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double and two RBI.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .175 with five doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
  • Jake Cronenworth has four doubles, two triples, two home runs and 18 walks while hitting .221.
Manny Machado 31 .379 .455 .629 7 22 44
Eric Hosmer 29 .356 .427 .519 3 19 37
Jurickson Profar 30 .175 .301 .369 5 16 18
Jake Cronenworth 31 .221 .333 .345 2 14 25
Ha-Seong Kim 25 .197 .322 .395 3 12 15

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Seiya Suzuki has racked up a team-leading 16 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Suzuki’s home run total ranks 48th and his RBI tally ranks 42nd.
  • Suzuki carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
  • Willson Contreras’ .292 batting average paces his team.
  • Among all major league hitters, Contreras ranks 75th in home runs and 149th in RBI.
  • Ian Happ is hitting .282 with four doubles, two home runs and 15 walks.
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .275 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs and two walks.
Seiya Suzuki 28 .267 .380 .500 4 16 24
Willson Contreras 24 .292 .400 .483 3 9 26
Ian Happ 26 .282 .392 .400 2 15 24
Nico Hoerner 27 .275 .298 .396 2 10 25
Patrick Wisdom 26 .227 .289 .477 5 15 20

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Cubs

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +146. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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