New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/17/2022

by | Apr 17, 2022

The New York Yankees (5-4) visit the Baltimore Orioles (2-6) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Yankees are favored (-225) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. New York’s Nestor Cortes Jr. and Baltimore’s Bruce Zimmermann have been named the starters for this contest.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -225 +383 8.5 -112 -108 -1.5 -116 -104

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+383) and Over (8.5)

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Bruce Zimmermann
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Cortes Jr. Zimmermann
1 GS 1
0-0 W-L 0-0
0.00 ERA 0.00
4.1 IP 4.0
0 BB 2
5 SO 4

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • Nestor Cortes Jr. (0-0) gets the start for the Yankees, his second of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the lefty tossed 4 1/3 scoreless innings against the Toronto Blue Jays while surrendering three hits.
  • Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of only .188 against him this season. He has a .00 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings over his one games.
  • He will face an Orioles offense that ranks 27th in MLB with 52 total hits (on a .198 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .285 (29th in MLB) with four total home runs (30th in MLB).

Orioles Starter Bruce Zimmermann

  • Zimmermann will take to the mound for the Orioles, his second start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Monday against the Milwaukee Brewers, throwing four innings without allowing a run.
  • He has pitched to a .00 ERA this season with 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.5 walks per nine across one games.
  • The Yankees are batting .238 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (14th in the league) with 10 home runs.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees won 72, or 55%, of the 131 games they played as favorites last season.
  • New York entered 27 games last season favored by -225 or more and was 17-10 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 69.2% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponents hit the over in 69 of their 160 games with a total last season.
  • The Yankees were 53-63-0 against the spread in their 116 chances last season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles were chosen as underdogs in 145 games last year and walked away with the win 47 times (32.4%) in those games.
  • Oddsmakers never gave Baltimore moneyline odds of +383 or longer last season.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 20.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Baltimore’s games went over the total in 77 of its 159 opportunities.
  • The Orioles went 49-64-0 against the spread in their 113 games that had a posted line last season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge racked up a batting average of .287, with 39 home runs and 98 runs batted in last season.
  • DJ LeMahieu hit .268 with 24 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 73 walks.
  • Giancarlo Stanton hit .273 last season with 19 doubles, 35 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Anthony Rizzo had 23 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .248.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Anthony Rizzo 9 .219 .390 .531 3 8 7
Aaron Judge 9 .281 .361 .469 1 1 9
Giancarlo Stanton 9 .294 .306 .500 2 8 10
Aaron Hicks 9 .348 .464 .478 1 2 8
DJ LeMahieu 8 .280 .379 .480 1 2 7

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins racked up 175 hits with a batting average of .291 last season.
  • Ryan Mountcastle had 33 home runs and 89 RBI a season ago.
  • Trey Mancini hit .255 last season with 33 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Austin Hays had 26 doubles, four triples, 22 home runs and 28 walks while batting .256.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Anthony Santander 8 .304 .500 .478 1 1 7
Cedric Mullins 8 .176 .243 .382 2 8 6
Austin Hays 8 .214 .353 .286 0 0 6
Ryan Mountcastle 8 .250 .294 .344 1 3 8
Jorge Mateo 8 .192 .300 .231 0 2 5

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +383 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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