New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/17/2022

by | Apr 16, 2022

The New York Mets (5-3) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-5) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Mets are favored (-186) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:40 PM ET from Citi Field. David Peterson takes the mound for New York while Humberto Castellanos is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Mets vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -186 +161 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +110 -130

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+161) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Humberto Castellanos
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Peterson Castellanos
0 GS 0
0-0 W-L 0-0
0.00 ERA 6.00
4.0 IP 3.0
2 BB 1
3 SO 2

Mets Starter David Peterson

  • Peterson will make his first start of the season for the Mets.
  • The 26-year-old left-hander has one appearance out of the bullpen this season.
  • He has a .00 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .231 against him over his one appearances this season.
  • The Diamondbacks have put up 21 runs this season (29th in MLB) and are batting .152 collectively with seven home runs (14th in the league).

Diamondbacks Starter Humberto Castellanos

  • Castellanos gets the nod for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start of the season.
  • The 24-year-old right-hander will make his first start after pitching in relief twice this year.
  • He has pitched to a 6.00 ERA this season with 6.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.0 walks per nine across two games.
  • The Mets have scored 39 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 64 hits, eighth in baseball, with 10 home runs (fourth in the league).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in six games this season and won four (66.7%) of those contests.
  • New York has played as a favorite of -186 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 65% chance to win.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in two of their eight chances.
  • The Mets are 6-2-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in eight games this season and have come away with the win three times (37.5%) in those contests.
  • Arizona has played as an underdog of +161 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 38.3% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona and their opponents have gone over in two of their eight games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In eight games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 4-4-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Francisco Lindor’s three homers in 2022 are the most on the Mets. He’s also knocked in seven runs while hitting .276.
  • Lindor is third in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Lindor has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last eight games he is hitting .276 with two doubles, three home runs, seven walks and seven RBI.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .276 with two home runs and a walk.
  • Marte is 14th in homers and ninth in RBI on the year.
  • Pete Alonso has accumulated a team-high 12 runs batted in.
  • Alonso has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Eduardo Escobar is batting .200 with three doubles, a triple and six walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 152 .262 .344 .519 37 94 147
Eduardo Escobar 146 .253 .314 .472 28 90 139
Starling Marte 120 .310 .383 .458 12 55 145
Francisco Lindor 125 .230 .322 .412 20 63 104
Jeff McNeil 120 .251 .319 .360 7 35 97

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Seth Beer has driven in the most runs for the Diamondbacks with five runs batted in.
  • Beer’s home run total places him 54th in the big leagues, and he ranks 41st in RBI.
  • Beer has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Cooper Hummel is batting .167 with a home run and seven walks.
  • Hummel ranks 54th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 94th in RBI.
  • Christian Walker has two home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Daulton Varsho has a home run and six walks while batting .167.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Seth Beer 7 .400 .455 .600 1 5 8
Cooper Hummel 7 .167 .474 .417 1 3 2
Christian Walker 8 .111 .250 .333 2 2 3
Daulton Varsho 8 .167 .333 .292 1 1 4
Ketel Marte 8 .200 .286 .300 0 3 6

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +161 after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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