Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/20/2022

by | Apr 20, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (7-5) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-6) on Wednesday at 1:40 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -244 favorites by oddsmakers, while the Pirates are +199 underdogs. Milwaukee’s Brandon Woodruff and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller have been named the starters for this contest.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -244 +199 8 -107 -112 -1.5 -119 -101

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+199) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Woodruff Keller
2 GS 2
1-1 W-L 0-2
7.27 ERA 9.39
8.2 IP 7.2
4 BB 5
4 SO 8

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

  • The Brewers are sending Woodruff (1-1) out for his third start of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the right-hander tossed five scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while surrendering three hits.
  • He has a 7.27 ERA and 4.2 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .281 against him over his two games this season.
  • He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks seventh in MLB with 92 total hits (on a .251 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .371 (16th in MLB) with eight total home runs (20th in MLB).

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

  • Keller will get the start for the Pirates, his third of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Washington Nationals, throwing 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched to a 9.39 ERA this season with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 5.9 walks per nine across two games.
  • The Brewers are batting .205 this season, 26th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .335 (22nd in the league) with eight home runs.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 12 games this season and won seven (58.3%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has played as a favorite of -244 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 70.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in four of their 12 chances.
  • In 12 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 4-8-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with three wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +199 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 33.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in four of 11 chances this season.
  • The Pirates are 6-5-0 against the spread in their 11 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers in home runs (two) and runs batted in (seven).
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .216 with four doubles, a home run and eight walks.
  • Yelich is 76th in home runs in the majors, and 50th in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen has accumulated a team-high batting average of .250.
  • Kolten Wong is batting .209 with a double, two triples and a walk.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 11 .273 .333 .545 2 7 9
Christian Yelich 11 .216 .362 .405 1 6 8
Andrew McCutchen 12 .250 .306 .318 0 5 11
Kolten Wong 12 .209 .239 .326 0 5 9
Willy Adames 12 .182 .294 .295 1 3 8

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Michael Chavis has racked up a team-leading six runs batted in.
  • Chavis ranks 76th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Ben Gamel is hitting .200 with a double, a home run and six walks.
  • Gamel is 76th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with a team-best batting average of .333.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has racked up a team-best two home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Michael Chavis 7 .450 .500 .750 1 6 9
Ben Gamel 11 .200 .333 .333 1 5 6
Ke’Bryan Hayes 11 .333 .366 .436 0 2 13
Daniel Vogelbach 9 .323 .382 .548 2 3 10
Kevin Newman 8 .200 .273 .367 0 5 6

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +199 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

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