Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/19/2022

by | Apr 19, 2022

Seeking their seventh win of the year, the Milwaukee Brewers (6-5) are favorites (-260) on the moneyline when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-5) Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes and Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker have been named the starters for this contest.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -260 +214 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 -121 +101

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+214) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Burnes Brubaker
2 GS 2
0-0 W-L 0-1
2.25 ERA 9.82
12.0 IP 7.1
4 BB 7
12 SO 7

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (0-0) pitches for the Brewers to make his third start this season.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • He has a 2.25 ERA and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .175 against him over his two appearances this season.
  • Burnes will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.0 frames per appearance).
  • He will face a Pirates squad that is batting .262 as a unit (fifth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .375 (18th in MLB) with six total home runs (24th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 2.25 ERA ranks 21st, .917 WHIP ranks 19th, and 9.0 K/9 ranks 28th.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

  • The Pirates will send Brubaker to the mound for his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Washington Nationals, throwing 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 9.82, a batting average against of .281 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Brewers rank 20th in MLB with 37 runs scored this season. They have a .213 batting average this campaign with six home runs (24th in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have won six, or 54.5%, of the 11 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -260.
  • The Brewers have a 72.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in four of their 11 games with a total.
  • The Brewers are 3-8-0 ATS in their 11 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with three wins in the seven contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Pittsburgh this season with a +214 moneyline set for this game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 31.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in four of their 10 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 10 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 6-4-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Yelich paces the Brewers with one home runs and six runs batted in.
  • Including all MLB batters, Yelich ranks 91st in batting average, 36th in on-base percentage, and 62nd in slugging.
  • Rowdy Tellez’s one home runs pace his team.
  • Andrew McCutchen paces the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .262.
  • Willy Adames has hit one home runs to pace his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Christian Yelich 10 .242 .395 .455 1 6 8
Rowdy Tellez 10 .267 .333 .467 1 5 8
Andrew McCutchen 11 .262 .304 .333 0 5 11
Willy Adames 11 .200 .319 .325 1 3 8
Kolten Wong 11 .205 .238 .308 0 3 8

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Michael Chavis has put up a team-leading six runs batted in.
  • Chavis ranks 66th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Ben Gamel is hitting .222 with a double, a home run and six walks.
  • Gamel ranks 66th overall in home runs and 55th in RBI this season.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes paces the Pirates with a team-best batting average of .371.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has a double, a home run and three walks while hitting .333.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Michael Chavis 7 .450 .500 .750 1 6 9
Ben Gamel 10 .222 .364 .370 1 5 6
Ke’Bryan Hayes 10 .371 .405 .486 0 2 13
Daniel Vogelbach 8 .333 .400 .481 1 2 9
Bryan Reynolds 9 .270 .308 .432 2 3 10

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +214 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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