Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Tips and Best Bets

by | Apr 13, 2022

The Miami Marlins (1-4) are -114 favorites to break their three-game losing streak when they face the Philadelphia Phillies (3-3), losers of two in a row. The game begins Thursday at 6:40 PM ET, live from loanDepot park. Sandy Alcantara will get the ball for Miami while Philadelphia counter with Kyle Gibson.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Betting Odds, Spread, Line

Marlins vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Marlins -114 -106 7.5 -108 -112 -1.5 +140 -137

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-106) and Over (7.5)

Marlins vs. Phillies Game Info

  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
  • Game Day: Thursday, April 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Alcantara Gibson
1 GS 1
0-0 W-L 1-0
3.60 ERA 0.00
5.0 IP 7.0
5 BB 0
4 SO 10

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • The Marlins are sending Alcantara (0-0) to make his second start of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Friday, the righty tossed five innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • In one games this season, he has a 3.60 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are hitting .188 against him.
  • He will face a Phillies offense that ranks 11th in MLB with 43 total hits (on a .231 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .414 (eighth in MLB) with seven total home runs (sixth in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks 40th in ERA (3.60), 54th in WHIP (1.600), and 39th in K/9 (7.2).

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

  • The Phillies’ Gibson will make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits against the Oakland Athletics.
  • He has pitched to a .00 ERA this season with 12.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 0.0 walks per nine across one games.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 34-year-old’s .00 ERA ranks first, .286 WHIP ranks third, and 12.9 K/9 ranks sixth.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • Last season, the Marlins won 26 out of the 46 games, or 56.5%, in which they were favored.
  • Miami was 21-19 last season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents hit the over in 71 of their 159 games with a total last season.
  • The Marlins were 61-56-0 against the spread in their 117 chances last season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies were defeated in the one game they played as the underdog this season.
  • Philadelphia has played as an underdog of -106 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in two of their six opportunities.
  • The Phillies have an against the spread mark of 2-4-0 in six games with a line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Avisail Garcia collected 29 home runs while slugging .490 last season.
  • Jesus Aguilar capitalized on opportunities with 93 runs batted in while collecting 117 hits.
  • Jorge Soler hit .223 a season ago with 27 doubles, 27 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Miguel Rojas hit .265 a season ago with 131 hits.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Avisaíl García 135 .262 .330 .490 29 86 121
Jesús Aguilar 131 .261 .329 .459 22 93 117
Jorge Soler 149 .223 .316 .432 27 70 115
Miguel Rojas 132 .265 .322 .392 9 48 131
Joey Wendle 136 .265 .319 .422 11 54 122

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jean Segura paces the Phillies with two home runs and has put up a team-best batting average of .353.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Segura’s home run total is sixth and his RBI tally is 99th.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has totaled four runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Castellanos is currently 33rd in home runs and 31st in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Rhys Hoskins has collected a team-high four runs batted in.
  • Alec Bohm has two doubles and three walks while hitting .600.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryce Harper 141 .309 .429 .615 35 84 151
Nicholas Castellanos 138 .309 .362 .576 34 100 164
Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
Rhys Hoskins 107 .247 .334 .530 27 71 96
J.T. Realmuto 134 .263 .343 .439 17 73 125

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Phillies

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at -106. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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