Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/8/2022

by | May 7, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (11-15) hope to avoid their fifth straight defeat when they host the New York Mets (19-8) Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The Mets are listed as -115 favorites, while the Phillies are -105 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. New York’s Chris Bassitt and Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -115 -105 7 -115 -105 -1.5 +150 -170

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-105) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zach Eflin
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Bassitt Eflin
5 GS 5
3-2 W-L 1-2
2.61 ERA 5.25
31.0 IP 24.0
8 BB 5
34 SO 18

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt gets the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts through 31 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Monday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander tossed seven innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.61, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season. Opponents have a .193 batting average against him.
  • Bassitt is trying to build upon a second-game quality start streak in this game.
  • Bassitt is aiming for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • He will take the hill against a Phillies offense that ranks eighth in MLB with 211 total hits (on a .247 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .409 (third in MLB) with 28 total home runs (10th in MLB).
  • The 33-year-old’s 2.61 ERA ranks 26th, .935 WHIP ranks 20th, and 9.9 K/9 ranks 15th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Phillies Starter Zach Eflin

  • The Phillies will hand the ball to Eflin (1-2) for his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 5.25, a 3.6 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.333.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in five starts this season.
  • In five starts this season, Eflin has lasted five or more innings two times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Mets have scored 123 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 232 hits, second in baseball, with 23 home runs (15th in the league).
  • The right-hander has faced the Mets one time this season, allowing them to go 8-for-21 with three doubles and five RBI in 4 1/3 innings.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 23 times and won 17, or 73.9%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 16-5 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 12 of their 28 chances.
  • In 27 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 18-9-0 ATS.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have come away with two wins in the seven contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious two times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Philadelphia and their opponents have gone over in 13 of their 26 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Phillies have posted a record of 11-15-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with five home runs.
  • Lindor ranks 24th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Starling Marte has four doubles, three home runs and three walks while hitting .272.
  • Marte ranks 63rd in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Marte heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with two doubles, a home run and five RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .348 batting average.
  • Pete Alonso’s five home runs and 21 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Alonso brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .350 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
Francisco Lindor 27 .240 .333 .423 5 16 25
Starling Marte 24 .272 .318 .398 3 20 28
Jeff McNeil 25 .348 .408 .483 1 10 31
Pete Alonso 27 .267 .319 .457 5 21 28
Brandon Nimmo 22 .256 .376 .423 3 7 20

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper has a team-leading 17 runs batted in.
  • In all of the majors, Harper ranks 24th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has collected a team-best seven home runs.
  • Schwarber ranks sixth overall in homers and 23rd in RBI this season.
  • Nicholas Castellanos paces the Phillies’ lineup with a .308 batting average.
  • Alec Bohm has four doubles, two home runs and seven walks while batting .304.
Bryce Harper 26 .240 .297 .490 5 17 24
Kyle Schwarber 24 .195 .314 .483 7 16 17
Nicholas Castellanos 25 .308 .379 .505 4 15 28
Alec Bohm 24 .304 .358 .449 2 14 21
J.T. Realmuto 24 .258 .333 .371 2 5 23

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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