Mets vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/15/2022

by | May 15, 2022

The New York Mets (23-12), led by Brandon Nimmo on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the Seattle Mariners (15-19) Sunday at Citi Field. The Mets are -135 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 1:40 PM ET. New York’s Carlos Carrasco and Seattle’s Robbie Ray have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -135 +115 7 -125 +104 -1.5 +156 -190

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+115) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Mariners Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Carrasco Ray
6 GS 7
3-1 W-L 3-3
3.19 ERA 4.22
36.2 IP 42.2
6 BB 15
33 SO 41

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco (3-1) takes the mound for the Mets in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 3.19 ERA in 36 2/3 innings pitched, with 33 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, when he went 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 35-year-old has a 3.19 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings across six games this season, while allowing a batting average of .225 to opposing hitters.
  • Carrasco is seeking his third straight quality start.
  • Carrasco will try to prolong a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.0 innings per appearance).
  • He will face off against a Mariners team that is hitting .228 as a unit (23rd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .364 (19th in MLB) with 32 total home runs (13th in MLB).
  • The 35-year-old ranks 32nd in ERA (3.19), 19th in WHIP (1.009), and 28th in K/9 (8.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

  • Ray (3-3) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 4.22 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .223.
  • He has started seven games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • Ray has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Mets are batting .250 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .375 (16th in the league) with 28 home runs.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 4.22 ERA ranks 47th, 1.172 WHIP ranks 32nd, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 23rd.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 31 times and won 21, or 67.7%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 12-7 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 36 games with a total this season.
  • In 35 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 21-14-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (34.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Seattle has come away with a win two times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Seattle and their opponents have gone over in 17 of their 34 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 34 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 18-16-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his eight-home-run 29-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Alonso is 48th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging.
  • Starling Marte is batting .261 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks.
  • Marte ranks 97th in homers and 31st in RBI in the bigs.
  • Marte heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles and a triple.
  • Francisco Lindor has six doubles, five home runs and 14 walks while batting .231.
  • Nimmo is hitting .299 with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 20 walks.
  • Nimmo is riding a 10-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is batting .389 with two doubles, seven walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 35 .273 .347 .500 8 29 36
Starling Marte 32 .261 .308 .396 3 20 35
Francisco Lindor 35 .231 .312 .388 5 21 31
Brandon Nimmo 30 .299 .414 .449 3 9 32
Jeff McNeil 33 .310 .373 .425 1 13 35

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Mariners are lead in runs batted in by Ty France with a mark of 25, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .328.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, France’s home run total is 41st and his RBI tally is eighth.
  • France brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .327 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Crawford is 60th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 139th in RBI.
  • Adam Frazier is hitting .254 with eight doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .217 with five doubles, two home runs and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 34 .328 .401 .470 5 25 44
J.P. Crawford 32 .327 .414 .513 4 11 37
Adam Frazier 33 .254 .331 .354 1 13 33
Jesse Winker 34 .217 .326 .308 2 13 26
Eugenio Suárez 33 .207 .314 .421 6 18 25

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Mariners

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +115. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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