Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/24/2022

by | Apr 24, 2022

The New York Mets (11-5) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-9) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Mets are favored (-164) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:10 PM ET from Chase Field. Tylor Megill will get the ball for New York while Arizona counter with Madison Bumgarner.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -164 +140 9 +102 -122 -1.5 +100 -120

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) and Under (9)

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
  • Game Day: Sunday, April 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Megill Bumgarner
3 GS 3
2-0 W-L 0-1
2.20 ERA 1.38
16.1 IP 13.0
2 BB 10
15 SO 9

Mets Starter Tylor Megill

  • Megill (2-0) takes the mound for the Mets in his fourth start of the season. He has a 2.20 ERA in 16 1/3 innings pitched, with 15 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, the righty went 6 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.20, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are hitting .220 against him.
  • Megill will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.326) and ranks ninth in MLB play with 14 home runs. It has a collective .190 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 91 total hits and 25th in MLB play scoring 47 runs.
  • This season, the 26-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (2.20), 19th in WHIP (.918), and 32nd in K/9 (8.3) among qualifying pitchers.

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

  • The Diamondbacks will send Bumgarner (0-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up no earned runs and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 1.38, 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .174 in three games this season.
  • Bumgarner has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Mets are batting .255 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .392 (10th in the league) with 15 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mets have won 11 out of the 14 games, or 78.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has a record of 2-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -164 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 62.1% chance to win.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in six of their 17 chances.
  • The Mets are 10-6-0 ATS in their 16 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win six times (40%) in those contests.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +140 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona and their opponents have gone over in four of their 15 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 9-6-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with four home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .305.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Lindor ranks sixth in home runs and 13th in RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .254 with a double, two home runs and three walks.
  • Marte is 46th in homers in MLB, and ninth in RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil is hitting .302 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and five walks.
  • Pete Alonso’s 16 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
  • Alonso brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a walk and two RBI.
Francisco Lindor 16 .305 .408 .576 4 11 18
Starling Marte 14 .254 .312 .373 2 12 15
Jeff McNeil 15 .302 .373 .434 1 7 16
Pete Alonso 16 .258 .304 .452 3 16 16
Eduardo Escobar 15 .275 .422 .510 1 5 14

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Daulton Varsho has a team-leading four home runs and has driven in eight runs.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Varsho’s home run total is sixth and his RBI tally is 40th.
  • Christian Walker is batting .160 with two doubles, three home runs and eight walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Walker ranks 19th in home runs and 91st in RBI.
  • Seth Beer paces the Diamondbacks with eight runs batted in while recording a team-best batting average of .375.
  • Cooper Hummel has a double, two home runs and eight walks while hitting .161.
Daulton Varsho 15 .213 .316 .468 4 8 10
Christian Walker 14 .160 .276 .380 3 6 8
Seth Beer 14 .375 .468 .525 1 8 15
Cooper Hummel 13 .161 .333 .387 2 6 5
Pavin Smith 14 .286 .392 .357 0 2 12

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +140 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 9 runs.

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