Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/16/2022

by | May 16, 2022

Brandon Nimmo (11 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the New York Mets (23-13) and St. Louis Cardinals (19-15) meet Monday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Citi Field. Nimmo and the Mets are favored by oddsmakers with -120 odds on the moneyline. Trevor Williams will get the ball for New York while St. Louis counter with Miles Mikolas.

Mets vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -120 +101 8 -115 -105 -1.5 +167 -201

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Cardinals

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+101) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Game Day: Monday, May 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Williams Mikolas
1 GS 7
0-2 W-L 3-1
5.73 ERA 1.49
11.0 IP 42.1
2 BB 8
9 SO 31

Mets Starter Trevor Williams

  • Williams (0-2) takes the mound for the Mets to make his second start of the season.
  • His last time out was in relief on Wednesday when the right-hander tossed 3 2/3 scoreless innings against the Washington Nationals while allowing two hits.
  • He has a 5.73 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .327 against him over his five appearances this season.
  • He will face a Cardinals offense that ranks 10th in the league with 157 runs while batting .246 as a squad. It has a collective .392 slugging percentage (10th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 32 home runs (15th in MLB).

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas (3-1) will take to the mound for the Cardinals and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 1.49 and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .206 in seven games this season.
  • In seven starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
  • Mikolas has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Mets rank seventh in MLB with 160 runs scored this season. They have a .250 batting average this campaign with 29 home runs (21st in the league).
  • The right-hander has faced the Mets one time this season, allowing them to go 4-for-25 with a double in seven innings.
  • The 33-year-old’s 1.49 ERA ranks fourth, .945 WHIP ranks 11th, and 6.6 K/9 ranks 51st among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 21 (65.6%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 19-10, a 65.5% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of their 37 opportunities.
  • The Mets have an ATS record of 21-15-0 in 36 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (52.9%) in those games.
  • St. Louis has a win-loss record of 4-8 when favored by +101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • St. Louis and their opponents have gone over in 17 of their 34 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cardinals have posted a record of 19-15-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso is the Mets best power option, crushing eight home runs this season in addition to delivering 29 RBI, both team highs.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Alonso ranks 12th in homers and third in RBI.
  • Alonso carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor has six doubles, six home runs and 15 walks while hitting .232.
  • Lindor is 29th in homers and 20th in RBI on the year.
  • Lindor carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .125 with a home run, three walks and four RBI.
  • Nimmo is hitting .304 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs and 20 walks.
  • Nimmo is on an 11-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .405 with three doubles, a triple, seven walks and five RBI.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .259 with eight doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks.
  • Marte brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with three doubles and a triple.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 36 .270 .342 .489 8 29 37
Francisco Lindor 36 .232 .314 .406 6 22 32
Brandon Nimmo 31 .304 .414 .473 3 12 34
Starling Marte 33 .259 .304 .396 3 20 36
Jeff McNeil 34 .308 .369 .419 1 14 36

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nolan Arenado leads the Cardinals with eight home runs and 29 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .312.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Arenado ranks 12th in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Arenado has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .273 with three doubles, two triples, four home runs and 16 walks.
  • Edman ranks 62nd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 58th in RBI.
  • Paul Goldschmidt paces the Cardinals with a team-best batting average of .312.
  • Harrison Bader is hitting .231 with four doubles, three home runs and nine walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nolan Arenado 33 .312 .374 .600 8 29 39
Tommy Edman 33 .273 .367 .430 4 17 33
Paul Goldschmidt 33 .312 .394 .496 4 20 39
Harrison Bader 33 .231 .300 .352 3 10 25
Dylan Carlson 33 .220 .269 .341 2 10 27

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Cardinals

We have the Cardinals on the moneyline at +101 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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