Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/27/2022

by | Apr 27, 2022

Tommy Edman (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the St. Louis Cardinals (9-7) and New York Mets (14-5) meet Wednesday at 1:15 PM ET, live from Busch Stadium. Tommy Edman and the Cardinals are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by bookmakers (-101). Carlos Carrasco will get the ball for New York while St. Louis counter with Steven Matz.

Mets vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -119 -101 7 -114 -106 -1.5 +144 -172

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Cardinals

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-101) and Over (7)

Mets vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Steven Matz
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Carrasco Matz
3 GS 3
1-0 W-L 2-1
1.47 ERA 5.27
18.1 IP 13.2
2 BB 3
20 SO 17

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 18 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went 7 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • In three games this season, the 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.47, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting just .141 against him.
  • Carrasco is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He meets a Cardinals offense that ranks 22nd in the league with 62 runs while batting .226 as a unit. It has a collective .347 slugging percentage (19th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 13 home runs (22nd in MLB).

Cardinals Starter Steven Matz

  • Matz (2-1) will take the mound for the Cardinals, his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in five innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Friday.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 5.27, a 5.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.610.
  • Matz has started three games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings two times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Mets are batting .255 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (12th in the league) with 17 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have won 14, or 82.4%, of the 17 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has entered 16 games this season favored by -119 or more and is 13-3 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of their 20 opportunities.
  • The Mets are 13-6-0 ATS in their 19 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in four of the nine contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, St. Louis has won two of seven games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in six of their 16 opportunities.
  • In 16 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 9-7-0 against the spread.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Francisco Lindor’s four round-trippers in 2022 are the most on the Mets. He’s also driven in 12 runs while hitting .274.
  • Lindor’s home runs place him 11th in the majors, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .250 with two doubles, two home runs and three walks.
  • Marte is 60th in home runs in MLB, and fifth in RBI.
  • Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a .328 batting average.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .275 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks.
Francisco Lindor 19 .274 .365 .493 4 12 20
Starling Marte 17 .250 .316 .361 2 15 18
Jeff McNeil 17 .328 .388 .492 1 7 20
Brandon Nimmo 15 .275 .393 .529 3 5 14
Eduardo Escobar 18 .254 .390 .444 1 5 16

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nolan Arenado leads the squad with a batting average of .344, while pacing the Cardinals in home runs, with five and runs batted in with 14.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Arenado ranks fifth in homers and eighth in RBI.
  • Edman has a double, a triple, three home runs and eight walks while hitting .283.
  • Edman ranks 29th in homers and 67th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .258 with four doubles and eight walks.
  • Tyler O’Neill is batting .200 with two doubles, a home run and seven walks.
Nolan Arenado 16 .344 .420 .672 5 14 21
Tommy Edman 16 .283 .397 .509 3 8 15
Paul Goldschmidt 16 .258 .343 .323 0 5 16
Tyler O’Neill 15 .200 .281 .291 1 10 11
Albert Pujols 8 .269 .345 .538 2 4 7

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Cardinals

Our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at -101 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7 runs.

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