Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/17/2022

by | May 17, 2022

The Miami Marlins (16-19) are set to take on the Washington Nationals (12-25) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as -165 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Nationals have +145 odds for the contest. Miami’s Cody Poteet gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Joan Adon.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Marlins vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Marlins -165 +145 8.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +125 -145

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+145) and Over (8.5)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Cody Poteet
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Joan Adon
  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Poteet Adon
0 GS 7
0-0 W-L 1-6
0.55 ERA 7.03
16.1 IP 32.0
7 BB 23
14 SO 29

Marlins Starter Cody Poteet

  • Poteet will start for the Marlins, his first this season.
  • The 27-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen eight times this season.
  • In eight games this season, he has a .55 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are hitting .161 against him.
  • The Nationals have totaled 152 runs this season (13th in MLB) and are batting .249 collectively with 26 home runs (25th in the league).

Nationals Starter Joan Adon

  • Adon (1-6) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed three hits in 3 2/3 innings against the New York Mets.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 7.03, a 1.261 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.719 in seven games this season.
  • He has started seven games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
  • Adon has made two starts of five or more innings in seven chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
  • The Marlins have scored 149 runs this season, which ranks 14th in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 36 home runs, 11th in the league.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 18 times this season and won nine, or 50%, of those games.
  • Miami has a record of 1-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of their 35 opportunities.
  • The Marlins are 19-16-0 ATS in their 35 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have won in 10, or 31.2%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Washington has won five of 12 games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 40.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of their 37 opportunities.
  • The Nationals have an against the spread record of 14-23-0 in 37 games with a line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins in runs batted in (25) and has a team-best batting average of .303.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Chisholm’s home run total ranks him 31st, and his RBI tally puts him 10th.
  • Chisholm has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
  • Jorge Soler’s seven home runs lead his team.
  • Soler is 19th in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Soler carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .270 with a double, four home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .268 with four doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
  • Garrett Cooper has eight doubles, two home runs and 11 walks while hitting .255.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jazz Chisholm 29 .303 .339 .587 6 25 33
Jorge Soler 35 .195 .287 .391 7 18 26
Jesús Aguilar 33 .268 .336 .423 5 17 33
Garrett Cooper 32 .255 .346 .382 2 12 28
Brian Anderson 24 .253 .378 .413 2 4 19

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Josh Bell has put up a team-leading batting average of .333 while leading the Nationals in runs batted in with a mark of 21.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Bell ranks 67th in homers and 26th in RBI.
  • Bell brings a hitting streak of nine games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .282 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Juan Soto’s eight home runs pace his team.
  • Soto ranks 12th overall in home runs and 151st in RBI this season.
  • Yadiel Hernandez is batting .330 with eight doubles, three home runs and six walks.
  • Nelson Cruz is hitting .194 with a double, four home runs and 15 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Josh Bell 36 .333 .423 .481 4 21 43
Juan Soto 37 .244 .378 .474 8 11 33
Yadiel Hernandez 27 .330 .365 .505 3 20 32
Nelson Cruz 33 .194 .279 .298 4 20 24
Maikel Franco 37 .257 .284 .393 3 21 36

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +145. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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