Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/27/2022

by | Apr 27, 2022

The Washington Nationals (6-13) hope to avoid their seventh straight defeat when they host the Miami Marlins (8-8) Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as -148 favorites, while the Nationals are +127 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Miami’s Pablo Lopez and Washington’s Erick Fedde have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Marlins vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Marlins -148 +127 7.5 -102 -119 -1.5 +121 -144

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+127) and Over (7.5)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

López Fedde
3 GS 3
2-0 W-L 1-1
0.52 ERA 6.75
17.1 IP 13.1
3 BB 5
17 SO 14

Marlins Starter Pablo López

  • Lopez (2-0 with a .52 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season.
  • In his last time out on Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the righty tossed seven scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of .52, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are batting .164 against him.
  • Lopez is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • He meets a Nationals offense that ranks 19th in the league with 64 runs while batting .223 as a squad. It has a collective .319 slugging percentage (27th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 11 home runs (24th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks second in ERA (.52), fourth in WHIP (.750), and 29th in K/9 (8.8).

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

  • The Nationals’ Fedde (1-1) will make his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 6.75, a 2.8 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.650 in three games this season.
  • Fedde has two starts of five or more innings this season in three chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
  • The Marlins have scored 64 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 13 home runs, 22nd in the league.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have been favored six times and won four of those games.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -148.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in six of their 16 opportunities.
  • In 16 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 10-6-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win four times (28.6%) in those games.
  • Washington has a mark of 2-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington and their opponents have hit the over in seven of their 19 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Nationals are 5-14-0 against the spread in their 19 games that had a posted line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm has a team-best four home runs and 15 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Chisholm is 11th in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Joey Wendle’s .362 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Wendle ranks 121st in homers and 67th in RBI on the year.
  • Jesus Sanchez has two doubles, two triples, three home runs and four walks while hitting .290.
  • Garrett Cooper is hitting .292 with three doubles, a home run and six walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jazz Chisholm 14 .286 .327 .673 4 15 14
Joey Wendle 14 .362 .423 .532 1 8 17
Jesús Sánchez 15 .290 .343 .532 3 9 18
Garrett Cooper 15 .292 .404 .417 1 6 14
Jon Berti 9 .333 .545 .533 0 0 5

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Josh Bell with a mark of 13, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .345.
  • Bell’s home run total places him 60th in MLB, and he ranks 10th in RBI.
  • Juan Soto’s three home runs pace his team.
  • Soto ranks 29th in homers and 226th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Maikel Franco is batting .265 with three doubles, two home runs and four walks.
  • Nelson Cruz is hitting .174 with two home runs and eight walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Josh Bell 18 .345 .449 .500 2 13 20
Juan Soto 19 .250 .422 .453 3 3 16
Maikel Franco 19 .265 .301 .397 2 10 18
Nelson Cruz 18 .174 .260 .261 2 9 12
César Hernández 19 .247 .274 .296 0 2 20

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +127 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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