Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/26/2022

by | Apr 25, 2022

The Washington Nationals (6-12) will try to end their five-game losing streak when they host the Miami Marlins (7-8) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Marlins to be -120 favorites for the contest, while the Nationals are +100 underdogs looking for the upset. Sandy Alcantara takes the mound for Miami while Josiah Gray is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Marlins vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Marlins -120 +100 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +155 -180

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+100) and Over (7.5)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Alcantara Gray
3 GS 3
1-0 W-L 2-1
1.86 ERA 3.14
19.1 IP 14.1
7 BB 7
15 SO 18

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • The Marlins are sending Alcantara (1-0) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 19 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander went eight scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • In three games this season, the 26-year-old has a 1.86 ERA and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .209 to opposing batters.
  • Alcantara is aiming for his third straight quality start.
  • Alcantara is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Nationals offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.320) and is 23rd in MLB play with 11 home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is seventh in MLB with 130 total hits and 16th in MLB action scoring 62 runs.
  • The 26-year-old ranks 11th in ERA (1.86), 32nd in WHIP (1.086), and 39th in K/9 (7.0) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

  • The Nationals will send Gray (2-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.14, a 2.571 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.326 in three games this season.
  • Gray has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Marlins have scored 59 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 12 home runs, 22nd in the league.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have won three of the five games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has entered four games this season favored by -120 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in six of their 15 chances.
  • The Marlins are 9-6-0 ATS in their 15 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 13 games this season and have come away with the win four times (30.8%) in those contests.
  • Washington has a mark of 3-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in seven of their 18 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals are 5-13-0 against the spread in their 18 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm is the Marlins best power option, connecting on four home runs this season in addition to accumulating 15 RBI, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Chisholm is 40th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
  • Jesus Sanchez has two doubles, two triples, three home runs and three walks while hitting .310.
  • Sanchez is 23rd in homers and 33rd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Joey Wendle paces the Marlins with a .341 batting average.
  • Jon Berti has a double, a triple and seven walks while batting .333.
  • Berti takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a double, a triple and four walks.
Jazz Chisholm 13 .295 .340 .727 4 15 13
Jesús Sánchez 14 .310 .355 .569 3 9 18
Joey Wendle 13 .341 .396 .455 0 5 15
Jon Berti 9 .333 .545 .533 0 0 5
Garrett Cooper 14 .273 .396 .386 1 6 12

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Josh Bell has a team-high batting average of .345 while leading the Nationals in runs batted in with a mark of 12.
  • Bell is 52nd in homers and 11th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Juan Soto has hit a team-best three home runs.
  • Soto is currently 23rd in home runs and 213th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Nelson Cruz is hitting .169 with two home runs and eight walks.
  • Maikel Franco has three doubles, two home runs and three walks while hitting .262.
Josh Bell 17 .345 .446 .509 2 12 19
Juan Soto 18 .242 .405 .435 3 3 15
Nelson Cruz 17 .169 .260 .262 2 9 11
Maikel Franco 18 .262 .290 .400 2 10 17
César Hernández 18 .247 .275 .299 0 2 19

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +100. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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