Marlins vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/1/2022

by | May 2, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (11-10 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the Miami Marlins (12-8) in the final game of a three-game set. Oddsmakers have listed the Marlins as -120 favorites, while the Mariners are +100 underdogs to pick up a win. Sandy Alcantara gets the starting nod for Miami while Logan Gilbert is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Marlins vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Marlins -120 +100 7 -104 -116 -1.5 +123 -102

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+100) and Over (7)

Marlins vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Alcantara Gilbert
4 GS 4
2-0 W-L 3-0
1.78 ERA 0.40
25.1 IP 22.1
10 BB 4
20 SO 22

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara (2-0) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his fifth start of the season. He has a 1.78 ERA in 25 1/3 innings pitched, with 20 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander threw six innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.78, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .230 batting average against him.
  • Alcantara is trying to record his fourth straight quality start in this matchup.
  • Alcantara will aim to go five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has a collective .233 batting average, and is 12th in the league with 164 total hits and fifth in MLB play with 95 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and ranks 10th in home runs (21) in all of MLB.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 26-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (1.78), 43rd in WHIP (1.184), and 46th in K/9 (7.1).

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Gilbert (3-0) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of .40, 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings and an opponent batting average of .188.
  • He has one quality starts in four chances this season.
  • Gilbert has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Marlins have scored 80 runs this season, which ranks 20th in MLB. They have 155 hits, 17th in baseball, with 16 home runs (21st in the league).
  • Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 24-year-old’s .40 ERA ranks second, .851 WHIP ranks 10th, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 25th.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have won seven out of the nine games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Miami has a record of 5-2 when favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in seven of their 20 chances.
  • The Marlins are 12-8-0 ATS in their 20 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have won in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Seattle have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 21 chances this season.
  • In 21 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 13-8-0 against the spread.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (four) and runs batted in (15).
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Chisholm’s home run total places him 20th, and his RBI tally ranks him seventh.
  • Chisholm has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .348 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Joey Wendle’s .304 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Wendle ranks 147th in homers and 100th in RBI on the year.
  • Jesus Sanchez is batting .282 with two doubles, two triples, three home runs and five walks.
  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .231 with a home run and 14 walks.
  • Aguilar is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a home run, seven walks and two RBI.
Jazz Chisholm 16 .298 .344 .667 4 15 17
Joey Wendle 17 .304 .371 .446 1 8 17
Jesús Sánchez 19 .282 .346 .493 3 12 20
Jesús Aguilar 19 .231 .354 .277 1 6 15
Miguel Rojas 16 .175 .217 .281 1 4 10

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France paces the Mariners in home runs (five) and runs batted in (21).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, France is 11th in homers and second in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford has a club-best .360 batting average.
  • Crawford ranks 46th in homers and 83rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Adam Frazier has five doubles, a triple and seven walks while hitting .238.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .230 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks.
Ty France 21 .337 .411 .554 5 21 28
J.P. Crawford 21 .360 .449 .573 3 9 27
Adam Frazier 21 .238 .304 .321 0 11 20
Eugenio Suárez 20 .230 .329 .459 3 11 17
Jesse Winker 21 .169 .326 .197 0 6 12

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Mariners

We have the Mariners on the moneyline at +100 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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