Mariners vs. Rays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/6/2022

by | May 6, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (12-14) stumble into Friday’s matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (16-10) looking to break a four-game losing streak. The contest starts at 9:40 PM ET with the Mariners listed as -125 favorites to right the ship. Logan Gilbert will get the ball for Seattle while Tampa Bay counter with Josh Fleming.

Mariners vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -125 +105 7 +100 -120 -1.5 +170 -200

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Rays

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+105) and Over (7)

Mariners vs. Rays Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Josh Fleming
  • Game Day: Friday, May 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Gilbert Fleming
5 GS 2
4-0 W-L 2-3
0.64 ERA 6.32
28.0 IP 15.2
8 BB 6
27 SO 16

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

  • The Mariners are sending Gilbert (4-0) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 4-0 with a .64 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 28 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • In five games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of .64, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .180 against him.
  • Gilbert has registered one quality start this year.
  • Gilbert will try to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • He will face a Rays offense that is hitting .243 as a unit (sixth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .390 (ninth in MLB) with 23 total home runs (14th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Rays this season, Gilbert has thrown 5 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out seven.
  • The 25-year-old’s .64 ERA ranks first, .929 WHIP ranks 17th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 26th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rays Starter Josh Fleming

  • The Rays’ Fleming will make his third start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up five earned runs.
  • He has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 6.32, a batting average against of .324 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Mariners rank 13th in MLB with 107 runs scored this season. They have a .227 batting average this campaign with 26 home runs (11th in the league).
  • The Mariners have gone 4-for-12 with two doubles in one game against the left-hander this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have won six out of the eight games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Seattle has a record of 5-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Games involving Seattle have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 12 of 26 chances this season.
  • The Mariners are 15-11-0 ATS in their 26 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have been underdogs in three games this season and have come away with the win one time (33.3%) in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has been listed as an underdog of +105 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of their 26 opportunities.
  • The Rays are 11-15-0 against the spread in their 26 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France paces the Mariners with five home runs and 21 runs batted in.
  • France ranks 22nd in homers and third in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • J.P. Crawford’s .363 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Among all major league hitters, Crawford is 34th in home runs and 98th in RBI.
  • Crawford has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Adam Frazier has five doubles, a triple, a home run and eight walks while hitting .233.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .204 with six doubles, a triple, four home runs and 12 walks.
  • Suarez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .105 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Ty France 26 .330 .397 .505 5 21 34
J.P. Crawford 26 .363 .454 .582 4 10 33
Adam Frazier 26 .233 .295 .330 1 12 24
Eugenio Suárez 25 .204 .295 .419 4 14 19
Jesse Winker 26 .189 .321 .256 1 9 17

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Wander Franco paces the Rays in home runs (four) and runs batted in (14).
  • In all of the big leagues, Franco is 34th in homers and 38th in RBI.
  • Yandy Diaz is batting .301 with three doubles, two home runs and 16 walks.
  • Diaz is 102nd overall in home runs and 199th in RBI this year.
  • Manuel Margot paces the Rays with a team-best batting average of .303.
  • Brandon Lowe has four doubles, three home runs and eight walks while hitting .194.
Wander Franco 24 .300 .324 .520 4 14 30
Yandy Díaz 22 .301 .440 .425 2 6 22
Manuel Margot 21 .303 .361 .368 0 12 23
Brandon Lowe 25 .194 .262 .333 3 9 18
Harold Ramirez 16 .326 .388 .395 0 5 14

Betting Tips for Mariners vs. Rays

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +105. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

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