Mariners vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/9/2022

by | May 9, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (13-16), led by Abraham Toro on a two-game home run streak, are -119 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (12-16). First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET Monday, live from T-Mobile Park. Chris Flexen will get the ball for Seattle while Philadelphia counter with Ranger Suarez.

Mariners vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -119 +101 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +133 -115

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+101) and Over (7.5)

Mariners vs. Phillies Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
  • Game Day: Monday, May 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Flexen Suárez
5 GS 5
1-4 W-L 2-1
3.10 ERA 4.63
29.0 IP 23.1
9 BB 10
17 SO 15

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

  • Flexen gets the start for the Mariners, his sixth of the season. He is 1-4 with a 3.10 ERA and 17 strikeouts through 29 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Houston Astros, when he threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up a 3.10 ERA and 5.3 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season, while giving up a batting average of .231 to opposing hitters.
  • Flexen is trying to secure his fourth quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • Flexen is looking for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Phillies offense has the third-ranked slugging percentage (.405) and is ninth in MLB play with 30 home runs. It has a collective .247 batting average, and is sixth in MLB with 228 total hits and 11th in MLB play scoring 122 runs.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 3.10 ERA ranks 33rd, 1.138 WHIP ranks 36th, and 5.3 K/9 ranks 56th.

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

  • The Phillies will hand the ball to Suarez (2-1) for his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs in five innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 4.63, a 1.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.629.
  • He has started five games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
  • Suarez will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Mariners are batting .229 this season, 19th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .380 (14th in the league) with 31 home runs.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been favorites in 10 games this season and won seven (70%) of those contests.
  • This season, Seattle has won six of its eight games when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 54.3% chance to win.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 29 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 15-14-0 ATS in their 29 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have won in three of the nine contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of their 28 opportunities.
  • The Phillies have posted a record of 12-16-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France has a team-high 22 runs batted in.
  • Including all MLB hitters, France ranks 13th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage, and 34th in slugging.
  • France has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a walk and an RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford’s .340 batting average paces his team.
  • Among all major league batters, Crawford is 41st in home runs and 112th in RBI.
  • Adam Frazier is hitting .246 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 11 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez has shown his power as he paces his team with six home runs.
Ty France 29 .319 .385 .474 5 22 37
J.P. Crawford 28 .340 .435 .546 4 10 33
Adam Frazier 29 .246 .317 .342 1 13 28
Eugenio Suárez 28 .204 .305 .456 6 17 21
Jesse Winker 29 .196 .314 .275 1 9 20

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryce Harper has racked up a team-leading 19 runs batted in.
  • Harper is 14th in home runs and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s seven home runs lead his team.
  • Schwarber is sixth overall in home runs and 31st in RBI this season.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .293 with six doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
  • Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with a .312 batting average.
Bryce Harper 28 .241 .294 .500 6 19 26
Kyle Schwarber 26 .211 .318 .474 7 16 20
Nicholas Castellanos 27 .293 .360 .475 4 15 29
Alec Bohm 26 .312 .360 .442 2 14 24
Jean Segura 23 .284 .337 .409 3 7 25

Betting Tips for Mariners vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +101 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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