Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – NHL Playoffs First Round Game 2

by | May 3, 2022

Game 2 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Scotiabank Arena showcases the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning meeting at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, May 4. The Maple Leafs are up 1-0 in the series. The bookmakers see this as a tight one, with the Maple Leafs -121 to win on the moneyline, and the Lightning at +101. Find more below on the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Maple Leafs -121 Lightning +101

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game Info

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Arena: Scotiabank Arena

Computer Predictions for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

Computer picks for Maple Leafs vs Lightning
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Lightning (+1.5) Over (6) Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 3

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • Toronto has gotten the victory in 52 of the 74 games it’s played as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • In 72 games with lower than -121 moneyline odds this season, the Maple Leafs have won 50.
  • The moneyline odds say Toronto has a 54.8% chance of winning this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs Leaders

  • A leading contributor this season for Toronto, Auston Matthews has scored 106 points in 73 games (60 goals and 46 assists).
  • Mitchell Marner has 97 points (1.3 per game), scoring 35 goals and adding 62 assists.
  • William Nylander’s season total of 80 points has come from 34 goals and 46 assists.
  • In 49 games, Jack Campbell has a record of 31-9-6. He has conceded 123 goals (2.64 goals against average) and has racked up 1307 saves.

Toronto Maple Leafs Season Stats

  • The Maple Leafs’ 312 goals this season make them the second-best scoring team in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs are ranked 19th in NHL action in goals against this season, having allowed 252 total goals (3.1 per game).
  • The team’s goal differential is sixth-best in the league at +60.
  • The Maple Leafs’ 63 power-play goals they’ve scored this season (on 231 power-play chances) are the fourth-most in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs lead the league with a 27.3% power-play conversion rate.
  • The 13 shorthanded goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season are the most in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs’ penalty-kill percentage (81.7%) is the league’s eighth-best.
  • The Maple Leafs’ players win 55.1% of their faceoffs, pacing the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have an 11% shooting percentage as a team, ranking fourth in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have yet to shut out an opponent this season, averaging 21.3 hits and 11.9 blocked shots per game.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • This season the Lightning have three wins in the 12 games in which they’ve been an underdog.
  • Tampa Bay has won two of its seven games when it is the underdog by +101 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, based on the moneyline in this matchup, that the Lightning have a 49.8% chance to win.

Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Tampa Bay’s Steven Stamkos has collected 64 assists and 42 goals in 81 games, good for 106 points.
  • Victor Hedman has made a big impact for Tampa Bay this season with 86 points, thanks to 20 goals and 66 assists.
  • Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov has 69 points (25 goals, 44 assists) this season.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy’s record stands at 39-18-5 on the season, giving up 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) and amassing 1712 saves with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).

Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning have scored the seventh-most goals (285 goals, 3.5 per game) in the league.
  • The Lightning have conceded 2.8 goals per game, 228 total, the sixth-fewest among league teams.
  • Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have recorded 63 power-play goals this season (fourth-most in the NHL) on 260 power-play chances.
  • The Lightning have the league’s seventh-best power-play conversion rate of 24.2%.
  • The Lightning have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (12th in the NHL).
  • The 81.4% penalty-kill percentage the Lightning have registered is the league’s ninth-best rate.
  • The Lightning have the league’s 15th-ranked faceoff win rate (50.1%).
  • The Lightning are shooting 11.3% (third in the league).
  • The Lightning have yet to shut out an opponent this season.

Maple Leafs and Lightning Injury Report

Maple Leafs: Rasmus Sandin: Out (Undisclosed), Petr Mrazek: Out (Groin), Michael Bunting: Day To Day (Undisclosed)

Lightning: None

Betting Tips for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

Our best bet is Maple Leafs on the moneyline at -121 and Lightning (+1.5) against the spread after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will finish over the total of 6 goals.

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